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Championship header 2

League Two

Rochdale
League Two | Gameweek 31
Feb 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Crown Oil Arena
Northampton Town

Rochdale
1 - 1
Northampton

Henderson (52')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Fox (89')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Rochdale and Northampton Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rochdale

All competitions
Last Game: Salford City 2-1 Rochdale
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in League Two

Northampton Town

All competitions
Last Game: Northampton 0-0 Walsall
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 46.13%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Rochdale had a probability of 26.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.89%) and 1-2 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%), while for a Rochdale win it was 1-0 (9.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result
RochdaleDrawNorthampton Town
26.88% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)26.99% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)46.13% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Both teams to score 47.57% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.96% (0.055999999999997 0.06)57.04% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.08% (0.045000000000002 0.05)77.92% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.17% (0.024999999999999 0.02)36.83% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.38% (0.024999999999999 0.02)73.62% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.3% (0.036000000000001 0.04)24.7% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.77% (0.051000000000002 0.05)59.23% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Rochdale 26.88%
    Northampton Town 46.12%
    Draw 26.98%
RochdaleDrawNorthampton Town
1-0 @ 9.09% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-1 @ 6.35% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 4.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 2.11% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 1.51%
3-2 @ 1.48% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 26.88%
1-1 @ 12.7% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.09% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.44% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 26.98%
0-1 @ 12.71% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 8.89%
1-2 @ 8.89% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.15% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 4.14% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.07% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 1.45% (0.0029999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.45% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 46.12%

Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Northampton
3-0
Rochdale
Guthrie (42'), Hoskins (73', 81')

Ball (57')
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
Rochdale
1-0
Northampton
Campbell (53')

Mills (78'), Lubala (88')
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
Northampton
1-3
Rochdale
Guthrie (21')
Nelson (46'), Hoskins (66')
Taylor (17'), Andrews (73'), Odoh (90+5')
Feb 23, 2021 7pm
Northampton
0-0
Rochdale

Kioso (56'), McWilliams (75'), Sheehan (90+4')
Nov 24, 2020 7pm
Rochdale
1-1
Northampton
Humphrys (85')
Smith (20')
Sowerby (79')