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Northampton Town
League Two | Gameweek 24
Dec 29, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Sixfields
Swindon Town

Northampton
1 - 2
Swindon

Hoskins (90')
Bowie (82'), Hoskins (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Shade (26'), Lavinier (56')
Iandolo (45+2'), Shade (80'), Hepburn-Murphy (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League Two clash between Northampton Town and Swindon Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swindon 1-2 Walsall
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Northampton Town 2-1 Swindon Town

Northampton Town and Swindon have enjoyed a solid first half of the season and will be looking to close out the year on a high. However, the Cobblers head into the midweek match as the more in-form side and we are backing them to maintain their impressive run by claiming a slender victory in front of their home fans. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 39.55%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 33.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (9.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
Northampton TownDrawSwindon Town
39.55% (-0.389 -0.39) 27.23% (0.101 0.1) 33.22% (0.29 0.29)
Both teams to score 49.83% (-0.236 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.43% (-0.334 -0.33)55.57% (0.334 0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.26% (-0.271 -0.27)76.74% (0.27200000000001 0.27)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.55% (-0.375 -0.38)27.45% (0.373 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.06% (-0.486 -0.49)62.94% (0.485 0.48)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.68% (0.027000000000001 0.03)31.32% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.32% (0.030999999999999 0.03)67.68% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 39.54%
    Swindon Town 33.22%
    Draw 27.23%
Northampton TownDrawSwindon Town
1-0 @ 11.11% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.34% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-0 @ 7.18% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-1 @ 3.59% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-0 @ 3.1% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.09% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.16% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 39.54%
1-1 @ 12.9% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 8.6% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 4.84% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 27.23%
0-1 @ 9.98% (0.135 0.14)
1-2 @ 7.49% (0.028 0.03)
0-2 @ 5.79% (0.082999999999999 0.08)
1-3 @ 2.9% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.24% (0.034 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.87% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 33.22%

How you voted: Northampton vs Swindon

Northampton Town
72.7%
Draw
9.1%
Swindon Town
18.2%
11
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Jan 1, 2022 3pm
Swindon
5-2
Northampton
McKirdy (28', 51', 55', 66'), Simpson (60')
Hunt (49'), Kesler (88')
Hoskins (37'), Guthrie (50')
McWilliams (18'), Sowerby (34'), Koiki (62')
Sep 18, 2021 2pm
Northampton
1-1
Swindon
Horsfall (83')
Rose (43'), Sowerby (44'), Hoskins (68'), McWilliams (84')
Simpson (57')
Conroy (52')
Feb 27, 2021 3pm
Swindon
2-1
Northampton
Twine (45+2'), Pitman (69')
Palmer (51'), Grounds (67')
Watson (26')
Mills (64'), Morris (75')
Oct 20, 2020 7.45pm
Northampton
2-1
Swindon
Missilou (7'), Rose (28')
Bolger (51'), Missilou (62'), Hoskins (86'), Smith (90+1')
Smith (76' pen.)
Jaiyesimi (65'), Grounds (81')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall19124335191640
2Port Vale2010642619736
3Crewe AlexandraCrewe199732416834
4AFC Wimbledon19103631161533
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster209652823533
6Chesterfield2087535231231
7Grimsby Town2010192730-331
8MK Dons1893630201030
9Gillingham199282016429
10Bradford CityBradford197752419528
11Notts County197752521428
12Salford City197662019127
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham207582728-126
14Bromley195952323024
15BarrowBarrow196581818023
16Newport CountyNewport196582128-723
17Fleetwood TownFleetwood175752322122
18Colchester UnitedColchester1941052322122
19Tranmere RoversTranmere195681426-1221
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2063111730-1321
21Accrington StanleyAccrington184682533-818
22Swindon TownSwindon2037102334-1116
23Morecambe2035121936-1714
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1935111532-1714


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