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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 36.88%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 35.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.97%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (10.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bradford City | Draw | Northampton Town |
| 36.88% ( | 27.47% ( | 35.64% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.4% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.74% ( | 56.25% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.7% ( | 77.29% ( |
| Bradford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.67% ( | 29.33% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.69% ( | 65.3% ( |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.91% ( | 30.09% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.77% ( | 66.23% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Bradford City | Draw | Northampton Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.82% ( 2-1 @ 7.97% ( 2-0 @ 6.64% ( 3-1 @ 3.26% ( 3-0 @ 2.71% ( 3-2 @ 1.96% 4-1 @ 1% ( Other @ 2.51% Total : 36.87% | 1-1 @ 13% ( 0-0 @ 8.83% ( 2-2 @ 4.79% ( Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.47% | 0-1 @ 10.59% ( 1-2 @ 7.81% ( 0-2 @ 6.36% ( 1-3 @ 3.13% ( 0-3 @ 2.55% ( 2-3 @ 1.92% ( 1-4 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 2.35% Total : 35.63% |