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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 36.88%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 35.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.97%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (10.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bradford City | Draw | Northampton Town |
36.88% ( -0.34) | 27.47% ( -0.03) | 35.64% ( 0.37) |
Both teams to score 49.4% ( 0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.74% ( 0.14) | 56.25% ( -0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.7% ( 0.11) | 77.29% ( -0.12) |
Bradford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.67% ( -0.14) | 29.33% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.69% ( -0.17) | 65.3% ( 0.16) |
Northampton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.91% ( 0.3) | 30.09% ( -0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.77% ( 0.36) | 66.23% ( -0.37) |
Score Analysis |
Bradford City | Draw | Northampton Town |
1-0 @ 10.82% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 7.97% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 6.64% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 3.26% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.71% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.96% 4-1 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.51% Total : 36.87% | 1-1 @ 13% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.83% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.79% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.47% | 0-1 @ 10.59% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.81% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 6.36% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 3.13% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.35% Total : 35.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Stockport CountyStockport | 44 | 26 | 11 | 7 | 91 | 44 | 47 | 89 |
P | Mansfield TownMansfield | 44 | 23 | 13 | 8 | 87 | 45 | 42 | 82 |
P | Wrexham | 44 | 24 | 10 | 10 | 84 | 51 | 33 | 82 |
4 | MK Dons | 44 | 22 | 8 | 14 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 74 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 44 | 19 | 13 | 12 | 68 | 61 | 7 | 70 |
6 | BarrowBarrow | 43 | 18 | 14 | 11 | 58 | 49 | 9 | 68 |
7 | Crawley TownCrawley | 44 | 20 | 6 | 18 | 69 | 65 | 4 | 66 |
8 | Walsall | 44 | 18 | 11 | 15 | 66 | 65 | 1 | 65 |
9 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 43 | 19 | 7 | 17 | 63 | 63 | 0 | 64 |
10 | Gillingham | 44 | 18 | 9 | 17 | 43 | 53 | -10 | 63 |
11 | AFC Wimbledon | 44 | 16 | 14 | 14 | 57 | 47 | 10 | 62 |
12 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 44 | 17 | 11 | 16 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 62 |
13 | Bradford CityBradford | 43 | 16 | 12 | 15 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 60 |
14 | Notts County | 44 | 17 | 7 | 20 | 88 | 85 | 3 | 58 |
15 | Morecambe | 44 | 17 | 9 | 18 | 63 | 76 | -13 | 57 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 44 | 16 | 7 | 21 | 61 | 71 | -10 | 55 |
17 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 44 | 16 | 6 | 22 | 63 | 64 | -1 | 54 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 44 | 15 | 9 | 20 | 57 | 66 | -9 | 54 |
19 | Swindon TownSwindon | 44 | 14 | 11 | 19 | 74 | 78 | -4 | 53 |
20 | Salford City | 44 | 12 | 11 | 21 | 63 | 80 | -17 | 47 |
21 | Grimsby Town | 44 | 10 | 16 | 18 | 55 | 72 | -17 | 46 |
22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 43 | 11 | 11 | 21 | 57 | 74 | -17 | 44 |
23 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 44 | 9 | 13 | 22 | 53 | 78 | -25 | 40 |
R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 44 | 9 | 9 | 26 | 41 | 77 | -36 | 36 |
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