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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 36.88%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 35.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.97%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (10.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bradford City | Draw | Northampton Town |
36.88% ( -0.34) | 27.47% ( -0.03) | 35.64% ( 0.37) |
Both teams to score 49.4% ( 0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.74% ( 0.14) | 56.25% ( -0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.7% ( 0.11) | 77.29% ( -0.12) |
Bradford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.67% ( -0.14) | 29.33% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.69% ( -0.17) | 65.3% ( 0.16) |
Northampton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.91% ( 0.3) | 30.09% ( -0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.77% ( 0.36) | 66.23% ( -0.37) |
Score Analysis |
Bradford City | Draw | Northampton Town |
1-0 @ 10.82% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 7.97% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 6.64% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 3.26% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.71% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.96% 4-1 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.51% Total : 36.87% | 1-1 @ 13% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.83% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.79% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.47% | 0-1 @ 10.59% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.81% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 6.36% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 3.13% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.35% Total : 35.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 34 | 19 | 15 | 37 |
2 | Port Vale | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 35 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 33 |
4 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 31 |
5 | Grimsby Town | 19 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 31 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 16 | 14 | 30 |
7 | MK Dons | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 30 |
8 | Chesterfield | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 33 | 23 | 10 | 28 |
9 | Notts County | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 28 |
10 | Gillingham | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 26 |
11 | Bradford CityBradford | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 25 |
12 | Salford City | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 24 |
13 | BarrowBarrow | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 23 |
14 | Bromley | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 23 |
15 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 23 |
16 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 22 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 22 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 18 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 21 |
19 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 21 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 18 |
21 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 18 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 16 |
23 | Morecambe | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 14 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 30 | -15 | 14 |
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