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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 40.32%. A win for Bradford City had a probability of 32.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Bradford City win was 0-1 (10.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sutton United | Draw | Bradford City |
40.32% ( -0.17) | 27.67% ( 0.15) | 32.01% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 48.21% ( -0.45) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.53% ( -0.56) | 57.47% ( 0.56) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.73% ( -0.45) | 78.27% ( 0.45) |
Sutton United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.08% ( -0.36) | 27.92% ( 0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.46% ( -0.46) | 63.54% ( 0.46) |
Bradford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.88% ( -0.28) | 33.12% ( 0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.28% ( -0.31) | 69.72% ( 0.31) |
Score Analysis |
Sutton United | Draw | Bradford City |
1-0 @ 11.79% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 8.32% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 7.53% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.54% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 3.2% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.84% Total : 40.31% | 1-1 @ 13.03% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 9.25% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.66% | 0-1 @ 10.21% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 7.2% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.08% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.52% Total : 32.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 34 | 19 | 15 | 37 |
2 | Port Vale | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 35 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 33 |
4 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 31 |
5 | Grimsby Town | 19 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 31 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 16 | 14 | 30 |
7 | MK Dons | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 30 |
8 | Chesterfield | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 33 | 23 | 10 | 28 |
9 | Notts County | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 28 |
10 | Gillingham | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 26 |
11 | Bradford CityBradford | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 25 |
12 | Salford City | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 24 |
13 | BarrowBarrow | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 23 |
14 | Bromley | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 23 |
15 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 23 |
16 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 22 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 22 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 18 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 21 |
19 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 21 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 18 |
21 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 18 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 16 |
23 | Morecambe | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 14 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 30 | -15 | 14 |
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