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Northampton Town
League Two | Gameweek 13
Oct 25, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Sixfields
Sutton United

Northampton
2 - 2
Sutton

Leonard (15'), Pinnock (37')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Bugiel (47'), Wilson (61')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Northampton Town and Sutton United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 41.9%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 31.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 0-1 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Northampton TownDrawSutton United
41.9% (3.399 3.4)26.79% (-0.53 -0.53)31.31% (-2.87 -2.87)
Both teams to score 50.59% (0.85 0.85)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.67% (1.433 1.43)54.33% (-1.437 -1.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.29% (1.183 1.18)75.71% (-1.185 -1.19)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.39% (2.53 2.53)25.61% (-2.533 -2.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.51% (3.327 3.33)60.49% (-3.33 -3.33)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.01% (-1.214 -1.21)31.99% (1.211 1.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.55% (-1.404 -1.4)68.45% (1.403 1.4)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 41.9%
    Sutton United 31.31%
    Draw 26.78%
Northampton TownDrawSutton United
1-0 @ 11.16% (0.18 0.18)
2-1 @ 8.66% (0.459 0.46)
2-0 @ 7.6% (0.639 0.64)
3-1 @ 3.93% (0.466 0.47)
3-0 @ 3.45% (0.509 0.51)
3-2 @ 2.24% (0.199 0.2)
4-1 @ 1.34% (0.241 0.24)
4-0 @ 1.18% (0.243 0.24)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 41.9%
1-1 @ 12.71% (-0.23 -0.23)
0-0 @ 8.19% (-0.469 -0.47)
2-2 @ 4.94% (0.103 0.1)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 26.78%
0-1 @ 9.34% (-0.864 -0.86)
1-2 @ 7.25% (-0.376 -0.38)
0-2 @ 5.32% (-0.693 -0.69)
1-3 @ 2.75% (-0.242 -0.24)
0-3 @ 2.02% (-0.341 -0.34)
2-3 @ 1.88% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 31.31%

Head to Head
Jan 22, 2022 3pm
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Northampton
0-2
Sutton

McWilliams (37'), Rose (38'), Koiki (71'), Flores (85')
Kizzi (41'), Wilson (46')
Bouzanis (89')
rhs 2.0


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