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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 41.9%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 31.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 0-1 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Northampton Town | Draw | Sutton United |
| 41.9% ( | 26.79% ( | 31.31% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.59% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.67% ( | 54.33% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.29% ( | 75.71% ( |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.39% ( | 25.61% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.51% ( | 60.49% ( |
| Sutton United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.01% ( | 31.99% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.55% ( | 68.45% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Northampton Town | Draw | Sutton United |
| 1-0 @ 11.16% ( 2-1 @ 8.66% ( 2-0 @ 7.6% ( 3-1 @ 3.93% ( 3-0 @ 3.45% ( 3-2 @ 2.24% ( 4-1 @ 1.34% ( 4-0 @ 1.18% ( Other @ 2.33% Total : 41.9% | 1-1 @ 12.71% ( 0-0 @ 8.19% ( 2-2 @ 4.94% ( Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.78% | 0-1 @ 9.34% ( 1-2 @ 7.25% ( 0-2 @ 5.32% ( 1-3 @ 2.75% ( 0-3 @ 2.02% ( 2-3 @ 1.88% ( Other @ 2.76% Total : 31.31% |