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Championship header 2

League Two

Gillingham
League Two | Gameweek 18
Nov 12, 2022 at 3pm UK
MEMS Priestfield Stadium
Northampton Town

Gillingham
0 - 2
Northampton

FT(HT: 0-1)
Hoskins (27'), Bowie (72')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Gillingham and Northampton Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gillingham

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Brentford 1-1 Gillingham (5-6 pen.)
Tuesday, November 8 at 8.05pm in EFL Cup

Northampton Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Chesterfield 1-0 Northampton
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 40.53%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 30.99% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.12%) and 0-2 (7.84%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (10.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.

Result
GillinghamDrawNorthampton Town
30.99% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)28.48% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)40.53% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Both teams to score 45.58% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.39% (0.021999999999998 0.02)60.61% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.3% (0.018000000000001 0.02)80.7% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.48% (0.019999999999996 0.02)35.52% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.71% (0.021000000000001 0.02)72.29% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.69% (0.010000000000005 0.01)29.31% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.72% (0.011000000000003 0.01)65.28% (-0.01400000000001 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Gillingham 30.98%
    Northampton Town 40.52%
    Draw 28.47%
GillinghamDrawNorthampton Town
1-0 @ 10.77% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 6.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 5.58% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 2.36% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 1.92% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.45% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 30.98%
1-1 @ 13.22%
0-0 @ 10.41% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 28.47%
0-1 @ 12.77% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.12% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 7.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 3.32% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 3.21% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 1.72% (0.002 0)
1-4 @ 1.02%
0-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 40.52%

Head to Head
Apr 24, 2021 3pm
Gillingham
2-2
Northampton
Oliver (11'), Lee (68')
O'Keefe (32'), Cundy (42'), Samuel (71')
Edmondson (79'), Horsfall (83')
Watson (14'), Mills (40'), Morris (55')
Dec 29, 2020 7.45pm
Northampton
3-1
Gillingham
Hoskins (31' pen.), Rose (35'), Sheehan (47')
McWilliams (82'), Ashley-Seal (84')
Dempsey (45')
Feb 13, 2018 7.45pm
Northampton
1-2
Gillingham
Taylor (55')
Powell (20'), Grimes (31'), Turnbull (64'), Pereira (93')
Pereira (95')
Parker (6'), Eaves (18')
Reilly (11'), Ogilvie (63'), O'Neill (79')
Oct 21, 2017 3pm
Gillingham
1-2
Northampton
Martin (62')
Zakuani (89')
Powell (45'), Grimes (73')
Buchanan (9'), McWilliams (70'), Grimes (86')
Apr 30, 2017 12pm
Northampton
0-0
Gillingham

Taylor (42'), Moloney (75')
rhs 2.0


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