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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 51.86%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 22.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.37%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (8.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leyton Orient would win this match.
Result | ||
Leyton Orient | Draw | Gillingham |
51.86% ( 0.49) | 26.02% ( -0.17) | 22.11% ( -0.32) |
Both teams to score 45.82% ( 0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.96% ( 0.32) | 57.04% ( -0.32) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.07% ( 0.25) | 77.93% ( -0.26) |
Leyton Orient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.92% ( 0.35) | 22.08% ( -0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.57% ( 0.52) | 55.43% ( -0.53) |
Gillingham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.81% ( -0.14) | 41.19% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.27% ( -0.12) | 77.73% ( 0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Leyton Orient | Draw | Gillingham |
1-0 @ 13.73% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 10.37% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 5.22% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 4.63% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.06% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.97% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.75% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.91% Total : 51.85% | 1-1 @ 12.18% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 9.1% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 4.08% ( 0) Other @ 0.66% Total : 26.02% | 0-1 @ 8.07% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 3.58% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.21% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.21% Total : 22.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
2 | Port Vale | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 36 |
3 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 34 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 33 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 33 |
6 | Chesterfield | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 31 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 20 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 31 |
8 | MK Dons | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 30 |
9 | Gillingham | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 28 |
11 | Notts County | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 28 |
12 | Salford City | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 27 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 26 |
14 | Bromley | 19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 24 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 23 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 23 |
17 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 22 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 22 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 21 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 18 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 16 |
23 | Morecambe | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 14 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 14 |
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