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Championship header 2

League Two

Carlisle United
League Two | Gameweek 16
Oct 22, 2022 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Leyton Orient

Carlisle
2 - 3
Leyton Orient

Edmondson (15'), Gibson (56')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Archibald (2', 17'), Drinan (50')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Leyton Orient.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Barrow 2-0 Carlisle
Tuesday, October 18 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Leyton Orient

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Leyton Orient 2-3 Chelsea U21s
Tuesday, October 18 at 8.30pm in EFL Trophy

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 38.64%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 33.1% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.99%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (10.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leyton Orient would win this match.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawLeyton Orient
33.1% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)28.26% (0.0020000000000024 0)38.64% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Both teams to score 46.74% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.57% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)59.43% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.2% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)79.8% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.62% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)33.38% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.99% (-0.044 -0.04)70.01% (0.046000000000006 0.05)
Leyton Orient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.17% (0.019999999999996 0.02)29.83% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.08% (0.021999999999998 0.02)65.92% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 33.09%
    Leyton Orient 38.64%
    Draw 28.26%
Carlisle UnitedDrawLeyton Orient
1-0 @ 10.92% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.25% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.99% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.65% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.19% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 33.09%
1-1 @ 13.21%
0-0 @ 9.96% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.38% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 28.26%
0-1 @ 12.04% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.99% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 7.29% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.22% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 2.94% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.77%
1-4 @ 0.97% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 38.64%

Head to Head
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
Leyton Orient
0-1
Carlisle

Beckles (10'), Archibald (48')
Archibald (50')
Patrick (5')
Armer (52'), Riley (58'), Whelan (70'), Simeu (76')
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
Carlisle
1-1
Leyton Orient
Abrahams (9' pen.)
Smith (74')
Sweeney (17'), Smith (55'), Drinan (61'), Kyprianou (65'), Clay (90+2')
May 1, 2021 3pm
Leyton Orient
2-3
Carlisle
Wilkinson (3'), Kemp (45+3')
Happe (18'), Dennis (62'), Clay (89')
Mellish (42'), Alessandra (54' pen.), Tanner (90+1')
Walker (80'), Mellish (89')
Mar 23, 2021 6.30pm
Carlisle
0-1
Leyton Orient
Wilkinson (88')
Mar 21, 2020 3pm
Carlisle
P-P
Leyton Orient