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Josh Kay
69'
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Sam Foley
80'
Barrow vs Carlisle United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 40.03%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 33.32% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Barrow win was 1-0 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
Result
Barrow
33.32%
▼
(-2.36)
Draw
26.64%
▼
(-0.16)
Carlisle United
40.03%
▲
(+2.51)
Both Teams to Score:
51.67%
▲
(+0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5
46.75%
▲
(+0.31)
Under 2.5
53.25%
▼
(-0.31)
Over 3.5
25.19%
▲
(+0.26)
Under 3.5
74.8%
▼
(-0.26)
Barrow Goals
Over 0.5
69.92%
▼
(-1.34)
Under 0.5
30.08%
▲
(+1.34)
Over 1.5
33.78%
▼
(-1.64)
Under 1.5
66.21%
▲
(+1.64)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5
73.9%
▲
(+1.55)
Under 0.5
26.1%
▼
(-1.55)
Over 1.5
38.84%
▲
(+2.03)
Under 1.5
61.16%
▼
(-2.03)
Score analysis
Barrow
33.32%
Draw
26.64%
Carlisle United
40.02%
Barrow
1-0
@
9.43%
▼
(-0.48)
2-1 @ 7.61% ▼ (-0.34)
2-0 @ 5.67% ▼ (-0.52)
3-1 @ 3.05% ▼ (-0.26)
3-0 @ 2.27% ▼ (-0.30)
3-2 @ 2.05% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 33.32%
2-1 @ 7.61% ▼ (-0.34)
2-0 @ 5.67% ▼ (-0.52)
3-1 @ 3.05% ▼ (-0.26)
3-0 @ 2.27% ▼ (-0.30)
3-2 @ 2.05% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 33.32%
Draw
1-1
@
12.66%
▼
(-0.08)
0-0 @ 7.85% ▼ (-0.10)
2-2 @ 5.11% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 26.64%
0-0 @ 7.85% ▼ (-0.10)
2-2 @ 5.11% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 26.64%
Carlisle United
0-1
@
10.54%
▲
(+0.33)
1-2 @ 8.51% ▲ (+0.32)
0-2 @ 7.08% ▲ (+0.52)
1-3 @ 3.81% ▲ (+0.31)
0-3 @ 3.17% ▲ (+0.36)
2-3 @ 2.29% ▲ (+0.10)
1-4 @ 1.28% ▲ (+0.16)
0-4 @ 1.07% ▼ (-89.44)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 40.02%
1-2 @ 8.51% ▲ (+0.32)
0-2 @ 7.08% ▲ (+0.52)
1-3 @ 3.81% ▲ (+0.31)
0-3 @ 3.17% ▲ (+0.36)
2-3 @ 2.29% ▲ (+0.10)
1-4 @ 1.28% ▲ (+0.16)
0-4 @ 1.07% ▼ (-89.44)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 40.02%
