Barrow
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Oct 4, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
The Dunes Hotel Stadium

Barrow
1 - 2
Man Utd U21s

Fredricson (51' og.)
FT(HT: 0-1)
McNeill (44' pen.), Garnacho (90+2')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Barrow and Manchester United Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barrow

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Tranmere 1-0 Barrow
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in League Two

Manchester United Under-21s

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Blackburn U21s 6-1 Man Utd U21s
Saturday, October 1 at 12pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 64.23%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Manchester United Under-21s had a probability of 16.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 1-0 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.01%), while for a Manchester United Under-21s win it was 1-2 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
BarrowDrawManchester United Under-21s
64.23% (6.805 6.81)19.47% (-2.236 -2.24)16.29% (-4.582 -4.58)
Both teams to score 56.45% (-0.934 -0.93)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.02% (2.892 2.89)37.97% (-2.906 -2.91)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.77% (3.023 3.02)60.23% (-3.035 -3.04)
Barrow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.82% (2.84 2.84)11.17% (-2.853 -2.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.33% (5.9 5.9)35.66% (-5.914 -5.91)
Manchester United Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.56% (-3.193 -3.19)36.43% (3.18 3.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.77% (-3.364 -3.36)73.22% (3.352 3.35)
Score Analysis
    Barrow 64.23%
    Manchester United Under-21s 16.29%
    Draw 19.47%
BarrowDrawManchester United Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.87% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-0 @ 9.78% (0.779 0.78)
1-0 @ 8.92% (-0.238 -0.24)
3-1 @ 7.21% (0.724 0.72)
3-0 @ 7.14% (1.25 1.25)
4-1 @ 3.95% (0.765 0.77)
4-0 @ 3.91% (1.02 1.02)
3-2 @ 3.64% (0.069 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.99% (0.24 0.24)
5-1 @ 1.73% (0.48 0.48)
5-0 @ 1.72% (0.578 0.58)
Other @ 4.36%
Total : 64.23%
1-1 @ 9.01% (-1.071 -1.07)
2-2 @ 4.98% (-0.471 -0.47)
0-0 @ 4.07% (-0.593 -0.59)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.086 -0.09)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 19.47%
1-2 @ 4.55% (-1.005 -1.01)
0-1 @ 4.11% (-1.024 -1.02)
0-2 @ 2.08% (-0.752 -0.75)
2-3 @ 1.68% (-0.325 -0.33)
1-3 @ 1.53% (-0.507 -0.51)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 16.29%