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Rochdale
League Two | Gameweek 15
Oct 15, 2022 at 3pm UK
Crown Oil Arena
Barrow

Rochdale
2 - 1
Barrow

Kelly (18'), Quigley (75')
Diagouraga (28'), Ball (90'), O'Donnell (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Canavan (89')
Warren (85'), Canavan (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Rochdale and Barrow, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newport 0-1 Rochdale
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Barrow 0-1 Mansfield
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Rochdale 1-2 Barrow

Rochdale are yet to win at home this season, and will be increasingly desperate to try to change that as time goes on. Nonetheless, Barrow have started the season strongly, and will be looking to get back on track here, so we are predicting a narrow, Josh Gordon-inspired victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 39.06%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 33.02% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Barrow win was 0-1 (10.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rochdale would win this match.

Result
RochdaleDrawBarrow
39.06% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 27.91%33.02% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Both teams to score 47.73% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.81% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)58.18% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.16% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)78.83% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.01% (-0.012 -0.01)28.98% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.12% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)64.87% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)
Barrow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.21% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)32.79% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.65% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)69.35% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Score Analysis
    Rochdale 39.05%
    Barrow 33.02%
    Draw 27.91%
RochdaleDrawBarrow
1-0 @ 11.76%
2-1 @ 8.13% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7.29% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 3.36% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 3.01% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.87% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.04% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 39.05%
1-1 @ 13.12%
0-0 @ 9.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 4.53% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 27.91%
0-1 @ 10.59%
1-2 @ 7.32% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 5.91% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-3 @ 2.72%
0-3 @ 2.2%
2-3 @ 1.68% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 33.02%

How you voted: Rochdale vs Barrow

Rochdale
62.5%
Draw
0.0%
Barrow
37.5%
8
Head to Head
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Rochdale
0-0
Barrow

Dorsett (68'), Broadbent (84')

Banks (45+2'), Sea (86')
Oct 30, 2021 3.30pm
Barrow
1-2
Rochdale
Banks (56')
Gordon (53'), Brown (58'), Platt (90+3')
Beesley (28', 72')
Graham (53'), Odoh (85')
Jan 7, 2017 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Rams
@
49ers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall18114334191537
2Port Vale1910542619735
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster199642822633
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe188732216631
5Grimsby Town1910182728-131
6AFC Wimbledon1893630161430
7MK Dons1793530191130
8Chesterfield1977533231028
9Notts County187742518728
10Gillingham188281916326
11Bradford CityBradford186752319425
12Salford City186661719-224
13BarrowBarrow186571817123
14Bromley185852323023
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham196582528-323
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood175752322122
17Newport CountyNewport186482128-722
18Colchester UnitedColchester184952322121
19Harrogate TownHarrogate1963101628-1221
20Accrington StanleyAccrington184682533-818
21Tranmere RoversTranmere184681225-1318
22Swindon TownSwindon193792333-1016
23Morecambe1935111934-1514
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1835101530-1514


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