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Championship header 2

League Two

Gillingham
League Two | Gameweek 16
Oct 22, 2022 at 3pm UK
MEMS Priestfield Stadium
Barrow

Gillingham
1 - 1
Barrow

Baggott (74')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kay (35')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Gillingham and Barrow.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gillingham

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 1-1 Stevenage
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in League Two

Barrow

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Barrow 2-0 Carlisle
Tuesday, October 18 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 39.48%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 32.02% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.02%) and 0-2 (7.57%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (10.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.

Result
GillinghamDrawBarrow
32.02% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)28.5% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)39.48% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 45.83% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.56% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)60.44% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.42% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)80.57% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.32% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)34.68% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.59% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)71.4% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Barrow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.16% (0.015000000000001 0.02)29.83% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.08% (0.017000000000003 0.02)65.92% (-0.018999999999991 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Gillingham 32.01%
    Barrow 39.48%
    Draw 28.49%
GillinghamDrawBarrow
1-0 @ 10.95% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.02% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 5.8% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-1 @ 2.48% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 2.05% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 1.5%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 32.01%
1-1 @ 13.25%
0-0 @ 10.34% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.24% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 28.49%
0-1 @ 12.51%
1-2 @ 8.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 7.57% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 3.23% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 3.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.71% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
0-4 @ 0.92% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 39.48%