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Northampton Town
League Two | Gameweek 17
Oct 29, 2022 at 2pm UK
Sixfields
Newport County

Northampton
1 - 1
Newport

Hoskins (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bogle (2')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Northampton Town and Newport County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 40.11%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 32.76% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Newport County win was 0-1 (9.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
Northampton TownDrawNewport County
40.11% (0.014000000000003 0.01)27.13% (0.0019999999999989 0)32.76% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Both teams to score 50.03% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.74% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)55.26% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.51% (-0.011999999999997 -0.01)76.49% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.01% (0.0010000000000048 0)26.99% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.66% (0.00099999999999767 0)62.34% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.53% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)31.47% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.14% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)67.85% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 40.11%
    Newport County 32.76%
    Draw 27.12%
Northampton TownDrawNewport County
1-0 @ 11.12% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.42% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 7.29% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 3.68% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 3.18% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 2.13% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.2%
4-0 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 40.11%
1-1 @ 12.86%
0-0 @ 8.49% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 4.87% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 27.12%
0-1 @ 9.82%
1-2 @ 7.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 5.68% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 2.87% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
0-3 @ 2.19% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 1.88% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 32.76%

Head to Head
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
Sep 14, 2021 7.45pm
Newport
0-1
Northampton

Livermore (42')
Guthrie (43')
Rose (76'), McWilliams (76'), Flores (90+6')
Apr 25, 2020 3pm
Sep 14, 2019 3pm
Mar 12, 2019 7.45pm
rhs 2.0


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