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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 40.11%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 32.76% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Newport County win was 0-1 (9.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Northampton Town | Draw | Newport County |
| 40.11% ( | 27.13% ( | 32.76% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.03% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.74% ( | 55.26% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.51% ( | 76.49% ( |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.01% ( | 26.99% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.66% ( | 62.34% ( |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.53% ( | 31.47% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.14% ( | 67.85% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Northampton Town | Draw | Newport County |
| 1-0 @ 11.12% ( 2-1 @ 8.42% ( 2-0 @ 7.29% ( 3-1 @ 3.68% ( 3-0 @ 3.18% ( 3-2 @ 2.13% ( 4-1 @ 1.2% 4-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.05% Total : 40.11% | 1-1 @ 12.86% 0-0 @ 8.49% ( 2-2 @ 4.87% ( Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.12% | 0-1 @ 9.82% 1-2 @ 7.44% ( 0-2 @ 5.68% ( 1-3 @ 2.87% ( 0-3 @ 2.19% ( 2-3 @ 1.88% ( Other @ 2.9% Total : 32.76% |