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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 57.52%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 19.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.04%), while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (6.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Newport County |
| 57.52% ( | 23.22% ( | 19.26% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.86% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.4% ( | 49.6% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.38% ( | 71.62% ( |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83% ( | 16.99% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.89% ( | 47.11% ( |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.07% ( | 39.93% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.41% ( | 76.59% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Newport County |
| 1-0 @ 12.02% 2-0 @ 10.65% ( 2-1 @ 9.78% ( 3-0 @ 6.3% ( 3-1 @ 5.78% ( 4-0 @ 2.79% ( 3-2 @ 2.65% ( 4-1 @ 2.56% ( 4-2 @ 1.18% ( 5-0 @ 0.99% ( 5-1 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 1.9% Total : 57.51% | 1-1 @ 11.04% ( 0-0 @ 6.79% ( 2-2 @ 4.49% ( Other @ 0.9% Total : 23.22% | 0-1 @ 6.23% ( 1-2 @ 5.07% ( 0-2 @ 2.86% ( 1-3 @ 1.55% ( 2-3 @ 1.37% ( Other @ 2.18% Total : 19.26% |