Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 42.92%. A win for Fylde had a probability of 32.08% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Fylde win was 1-0 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.