Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 37.08%. A win for Fylde had a probability of 35.97% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Fylde win was 0-1 (10.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hereford United would win this match.