Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston United win with a probability of 46.39%. A win for Hereford United had a probability of 29.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Hereford United win was 0-1 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.