MX23RW : Friday, April 19 19:05:28| >> :300:86500:86500:
AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Colchester United
Crawley Town
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Forest Green Rovers
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Mansfield Town
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Salford City
Stockport County
Sutton United
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Wrexham AFC
Championship header 2

League Two
Northampton Town
League Two | Gameweek 22
Dec 20, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Sixfields
Carlisle United

Northampton
2 - 1
Carlisle

Sherring (53'), Appere (56')
Fox (45'), Burge (83'), McGowan (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Armer (50')
Whelan (41'), Armer (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Northampton Town and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Northampton Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Northampton 0-0 Tranmere
Saturday, December 3 at 3pm in League Two

Carlisle United

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 1-1 Sutton
Saturday, December 3 at 1pm in League Two

We said: Northampton Town 2-1 Carlisle United

 While both sides have proven difficult opponents to take points off in the league this season, Northampton Town's consistency of performance makes them one of the teams to beat in League Two. Carlisle have been strong performers away from home this season, however creation of meaningful opportunities has been a problem for Paul Simpson of late, and they may not have the attacking power to outscore their fellow promotion contenders. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 47.29%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 27.9% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Northampton Town in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Northampton Town.

Result
Northampton TownDrawCarlisle United
47.29% (0.186 0.19) 24.81% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09) 27.9% (-0.099 -0.1)
Both teams to score 54.92% (0.212 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.18% (0.314 0.31)47.82% (-0.316 -0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30% (0.289 0.29)70% (-0.291 -0.29)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.72% (0.20400000000001 0.2)20.27% (-0.206 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.37% (0.326 0.33)52.63% (-0.329 -0.33)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.89% (0.088999999999999 0.09)31.11% (-0.09 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.57% (0.105 0.11)67.43% (-0.10599999999999 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 47.28%
    Carlisle United 27.9%
    Draw 24.81%
Northampton TownDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 10.06% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.38% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 4.99% (0.042000000000001 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.27% (0.026 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.91% (0.032 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.99% (0.029 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.7% (0.021 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.16% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 47.28%
1-1 @ 11.75% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 6.31% (-0.083 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.48% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.13% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.81%
0-1 @ 7.36% (-0.078 -0.08)
1-2 @ 6.86% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.3% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.67% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.13% (0.015 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.67% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 27.9%

How you voted: Northampton vs Carlisle

Northampton Town
63.3%
Draw
30.0%
Carlisle United
6.7%
30
Head to Head
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Carlisle
2-1
Northampton
Sho-Silva (74'), Gibson (90+4' pen.)
Riley (80')
Lewis (79')
McWilliams (31'), Horsfall (56'), Pinnock (80')
Oct 30, 2021 2pm
Northampton
3-0
Carlisle
Lewis (41', 57', 67' pen.)

Armer (66'), Guy (82')
Mar 17, 2020 7.45pm
Northampton
P-P
Carlisle
Oct 22, 2019 7.45pm
Carlisle
0-2
Northampton
Pollock (51'), Hoskins (92')
Waters (58'), McWilliams (76')
Jan 12, 2019 3pm
Northampton
3-0
Carlisle
Bridge (48', 62'), Morias (72')
McWilliams (54')

Etuhu (32'), Hope (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CStockport CountyStockport442611791444789
4MK Dons442281474611374
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe441913126861770
6BarrowBarrow431814115849968
7Crawley TownCrawley44206186965466
8Walsall441811156665165
9Doncaster RoversDoncaster43197176363064
10Gillingham44189174353-1063
11AFC Wimbledon4416141457471062
12Harrogate TownHarrogate441711165562-762
13Bradford CityBradford431612155255-360
14Notts County44177208885358
15Morecambe44179186376-1357
16Newport CountyNewport44167216171-1055
17Tranmere RoversTranmere44166226364-154
18Accrington StanleyAccrington44159205766-954
19Swindon TownSwindon441411197478-453
20Salford City441211216380-1747
21Grimsby Town441016185572-1746
22Colchester UnitedColchester431111215774-1744
23Sutton UnitedSutton44913225378-2540
RForest Green RoversForest Green4499264177-3636
> League Two Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!