League Two Gameweek 22
Dec 20, 2022 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Sam Sherring 53' goal
  • Louis Appere 56' goal
  • goal Jack Armer 50'

Northampton Town vs Carlisle United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Northampton Town

All competitions
Last game
Dec 3, 2022 3.00pm
Northampton 0 - 0 Tranmere
Goals scored
62
Top scorer
Sam Hoskins

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last game
Dec 3, 2022 1.00pm
Carlisle 1 - 1 Sutton
Goals scored
66
Top scorer
Kristian Dennis

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 47.29%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 27.9% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Northampton Town in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Northampton Town.

Result

Northampton Town 47.29% (+0.19)
Draw 24.81% (-0.09)
Carlisle United 27.9% (-0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.92% (+0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.18% (+0.32)
Under 2.5 47.82% (-0.32)
Over 3.5 30% (+0.29)
Under 3.5 70% (-0.30)

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5 79.72% (+0.21)
Under 0.5 20.27% (-0.21)
Over 1.5 47.37% (+0.33)
Under 1.5 52.63% (-0.33)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5 68.89% (+0.09)
Under 0.5 31.11% (-0.09)
Over 1.5 32.57% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 67.43% (-0.11)

Score analysis

Northampton Town 47.28%
Draw 24.81%
Carlisle United 27.9%
Northampton Town
1-0 @ 10.06% (-0.08)
2-1 @ 9.38% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 8.03% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.99% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 4.27% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.91% (+0.04)
4-1 @ 1.99% (+0.03)
4-0 @ 1.7% (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.16% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 47.28%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.75% (-0.06)
0-0 @ 6.31% (-0.09)
2-2 @ 5.48% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.13% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.81%
Carlisle United
0-1 @ 7.36% (-0.08)
1-2 @ 6.86% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.3% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 2.67% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.13% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.67% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 27.9%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 36
Mar 12, 2022 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Tobi Sho-Silva 74' goal
  • Joe Riley 80' yellowcard
  • Jordan Gibson 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Shaun McWilliams 31'
  • yellowcard Fraser Horsfall 56'
  • goal Paul Lewis 79'
  • yellowcard Mitchell Pinnock 80'
League Two Gameweek 15
Oct 30, 2021 2.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Paul Lewis 41' goal
  • Paul Lewis 57' goal
  • Paul Lewis 67' goal
  • yellowcard Jack Armer 66'
  • yellowcard Callum Guy 82'
League Two Gameweek 39
Mar 17, 2020 7.45pm
Sixfields Stadium
League Two Gameweek 15
Oct 22, 2019 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Scott Pollock 51'
  • yellowcard Billy Waters 58'
  • yellowcard Shaun McWilliams 76'
  • goal Sam Hoskins 92'
League Two Gameweek 28
Jan 12, 2019 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Sixfields Stadium (Northampton, East Midlands)
  • Jack Bridge 48' goal
  • Shaun McWilliams 54' yellowcard
  • Jack Bridge 62' goal
  • Junior Morias 72' goal
  • yellowcard Kelvin Etuhu 32'
  • yellowcard Hallam Hope 77'
League Two Gameweek 2
Aug 11, 2018 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Brunton Park (Carlisle, Cumbria)
  • Gary Liddle 10' yellowcard
  • Jamie Devitt 30' goal
  • Hallam Hope 63' goal
  • yellowcard Matt Crooks 8'
  • yellowcard Aaron Pierre 28'
  • goal Kevin van Veen 40'
  • yellowcard Sam Hoskins 45'
  • goal Matt Crooks 62'