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Harrogate Town
League Two | Gameweek 8
Nov 8, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
CNG Stadium
Carlisle United

Harrogate
3 - 3
Carlisle

Armstrong (28'), Burrell (60'), Headley (76')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Charters (12'), Edmondson (50'), Moxon (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Harrogate Town and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 36.68%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 36.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.1%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-0 (9.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result
Harrogate TownDrawCarlisle United
36.63% (-1.315 -1.32)26.69% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)36.68% (1.36 1.36)
Both teams to score 51.94% (0.20800000000001 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.92% (0.239 0.24)53.08% (-0.23999999999999 -0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.34% (0.201 0.2)74.66% (-0.20400000000001 -0.2)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.05% (-0.651 -0.65)27.94% (0.649 0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.43% (-0.83900000000001 -0.84)63.57% (0.837 0.84)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.08% (0.93199999999999 0.93)27.91% (-0.933 -0.93)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.46% (1.175 1.18)63.53% (-1.177 -1.18)
Score Analysis
    Harrogate Town 36.63%
    Carlisle United 36.68%
    Draw 26.69%
Harrogate TownDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 9.95% (-0.275 -0.28)
2-1 @ 8.09% (-0.162 -0.16)
2-0 @ 6.34% (-0.298 -0.3)
3-1 @ 3.44% (-0.134 -0.13)
3-0 @ 2.7% (-0.178 -0.18)
3-2 @ 2.19% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.1% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 36.63%
1-1 @ 12.69% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.8% (-0.074 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.16% (0.033 0.03)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.69%
0-1 @ 9.95% (0.165 0.16)
1-2 @ 8.1% (0.197 0.2)
0-2 @ 6.35% (0.266 0.27)
1-3 @ 3.44% (0.17 0.17)
0-3 @ 2.7% (0.18 0.18)
2-3 @ 2.2% (0.071 0.07)
1-4 @ 1.1% (0.082 0.08)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 36.68%

How you voted: Harrogate vs Carlisle

Harrogate Town
0.0%
Draw
14.3%
Carlisle United
85.7%
7
Head to Head
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Harrogate
3-0
Carlisle
Diamond (18', 90+1'), McArdle (27')
Austerfield (66'), Sheron (70'), (72')

Devine (35'), Feeney (56')
Jan 4, 2022 7pm
Nov 23, 2021 7.45pm
Carlisle
0-2
Harrogate

Guy (57')
Thomson (45+1'), Pattison (78')
Sheron (41'), Burrell (90+5')
Apr 24, 2021 3pm
Feb 16, 2021 7pm