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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 36.68%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 36.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.1%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-0 (9.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Carlisle United |
| 36.63% ( | 26.69% ( | 36.68% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.94% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.92% ( | 53.08% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.34% ( | 74.66% ( |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.05% ( | 27.94% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.43% ( | 63.57% ( |
| Carlisle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.08% ( | 27.91% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.46% ( | 63.53% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Carlisle United |
| 1-0 @ 9.95% ( 2-1 @ 8.09% ( 2-0 @ 6.34% ( 3-1 @ 3.44% ( 3-0 @ 2.7% ( 3-2 @ 2.19% ( 4-1 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 2.83% Total : 36.63% | 1-1 @ 12.69% ( 0-0 @ 7.8% ( 2-2 @ 5.16% ( 3-3 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.69% | 0-1 @ 9.95% ( 1-2 @ 8.1% ( 0-2 @ 6.35% ( 1-3 @ 3.44% ( 0-3 @ 2.7% ( 2-3 @ 2.2% ( 1-4 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 2.84% Total : 36.68% |