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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 39.34%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 32.47% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.08%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-0 (10.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Harrogate Town | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
32.47% ( 3.19) | 28.19% ( 0.26) | 39.34% ( -3.45) |
Both teams to score 46.81% ( 0.42) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.72% ( -0.02) | 59.28% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.31% ( -0.02) | 79.69% ( 0.02) |
Harrogate Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.26% ( 2.35) | 33.74% ( -2.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.6% ( 2.48) | 70.4% ( -2.47) |
Tranmere Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.65% ( -1.93) | 29.35% ( 1.94) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.67% ( -2.44) | 65.33% ( 2.44) |
Score Analysis |
Harrogate Town | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
1-0 @ 10.75% ( 0.67) 2-1 @ 7.17% ( 0.52) 2-0 @ 5.85% ( 0.71) 3-1 @ 2.6% ( 0.34) 3-0 @ 2.12% ( 0.37) 3-2 @ 1.59% ( 0.13) Other @ 2.4% Total : 32.46% | 1-1 @ 13.19% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 9.9% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.39% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.71% Total : 28.19% | 0-1 @ 12.14% ( -0.66) 1-2 @ 8.08% ( -0.36) 0-2 @ 7.44% ( -0.84) 1-3 @ 3.3% ( -0.34) 0-3 @ 3.04% ( -0.53) 2-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.17) 0-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.22) Other @ 1.59% Total : 39.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Stockport CountyStockport | 44 | 26 | 11 | 7 | 91 | 44 | 47 | 89 |
P | Mansfield TownMansfield | 44 | 23 | 13 | 8 | 87 | 45 | 42 | 82 |
P | Wrexham | 44 | 24 | 10 | 10 | 84 | 51 | 33 | 82 |
4 | MK Dons | 44 | 22 | 8 | 14 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 74 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 44 | 19 | 13 | 12 | 68 | 61 | 7 | 70 |
6 | BarrowBarrow | 43 | 18 | 14 | 11 | 58 | 49 | 9 | 68 |
7 | Crawley TownCrawley | 44 | 20 | 6 | 18 | 69 | 65 | 4 | 66 |
8 | Walsall | 44 | 18 | 11 | 15 | 66 | 65 | 1 | 65 |
9 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 43 | 19 | 7 | 17 | 63 | 63 | 0 | 64 |
10 | Gillingham | 44 | 18 | 9 | 17 | 43 | 53 | -10 | 63 |
11 | AFC Wimbledon | 44 | 16 | 14 | 14 | 57 | 47 | 10 | 62 |
12 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 44 | 17 | 11 | 16 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 62 |
13 | Bradford CityBradford | 43 | 16 | 12 | 15 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 60 |
14 | Notts County | 44 | 17 | 7 | 20 | 88 | 85 | 3 | 58 |
15 | Morecambe | 44 | 17 | 9 | 18 | 63 | 76 | -13 | 57 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 44 | 16 | 7 | 21 | 61 | 71 | -10 | 55 |
17 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 44 | 16 | 6 | 22 | 63 | 64 | -1 | 54 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 44 | 15 | 9 | 20 | 57 | 66 | -9 | 54 |
19 | Swindon TownSwindon | 44 | 14 | 11 | 19 | 74 | 78 | -4 | 53 |
20 | Salford City | 44 | 12 | 11 | 21 | 63 | 80 | -17 | 47 |
21 | Grimsby Town | 44 | 10 | 16 | 18 | 55 | 72 | -17 | 46 |
22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 43 | 11 | 11 | 21 | 57 | 74 | -17 | 44 |
23 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 44 | 9 | 13 | 22 | 53 | 78 | -25 | 40 |
R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 44 | 9 | 9 | 26 | 41 | 77 | -36 | 36 |
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