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FA Cup
Carlisle United
FA Cup | First Round
Nov 5, 2022 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Tranmere Rovers

Carlisle
2 - 1
Tranmere

Gibson (30'), Harris (66')
Harris (74'), Armer (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Byrne (82')
Davies (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Carlisle United and Tranmere Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last Game: Tranmere 0-2 Carlisle
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League Two

Tranmere Rovers

All competitions
Last Game: Tranmere 0-0 Stockport
Tuesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Carlisle United 2-0 Tranmere Rovers

 Carlisle cruised to victory at Prenton Park last week, and they should have no trouble doing the same again on home turf. We expect the Blues to repeat the scoreline from last week and book their place in the next round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 42.91%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 30.38% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (7.83%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawTranmere Rovers
30.38% (-0.055 -0.05) 26.71% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 42.91% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Both teams to score 50.44% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.66% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)54.34% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.28% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)75.72% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.34% (-0.064000000000007 -0.06)32.66% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.79% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)69.21% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Tranmere Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.91% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)25.09% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.21% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)59.79% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 30.38%
    Tranmere Rovers 42.91%
    Draw 26.7%
Carlisle UnitedDrawTranmere Rovers
1-0 @ 9.17% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-1 @ 7.09% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.13% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.65% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.91% (-0.006 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.83% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 30.38%
1-1 @ 12.67%
0-0 @ 8.2% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.9% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 26.7%
0-1 @ 11.33% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.77% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 7.83% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.04% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-3 @ 3.61% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.4% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.25% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 42.91%

How you voted: Carlisle vs Tranmere

Carlisle United
80.0%
Draw
10.0%
Tranmere Rovers
10.0%
10
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Tranmere
0-2
Carlisle
Dennis (1', 54')
Dennis (66')
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Tranmere
2-2
Carlisle
Hemmings (15'), Nevitt (76')
Hemmings (43'), Davies (44'), Cogley (88'), Murphy (90+1'), Clarke (90+2')
MacDonald (40'), Morris (90+1')
Patrick (55'), Sho-Silva (90+7')
Simeu (43'), Feeney (43'), Mellor (64'), Mellish (90+2')
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
Carlisle
0-1
Tranmere

Clough (37')
MacDonald (48' og.)
Hawkes (65'), Spearing (90+3')
Feb 23, 2021 7pm
Carlisle
2-3
Tranmere
Kayode (3'), Anderton (27')
Woolery (21'), Vaughan (43', 88')
Lewis (12')
Nov 24, 2020 7pm
Tranmere
1-0
Carlisle
Taylor (51')
Monthe (54'), Lewis (69')

Hayden (67')
rhs 2.0
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