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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 53.26%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 22.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.48%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 0-1 (6.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stockport County | Draw | Carlisle United |
| 53.26% ( | 24.15% ( | 22.58% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.77% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.53% ( | 49.47% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.49% ( | 71.5% ( |
| Stockport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.48% ( | 18.51% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.26% ( | 49.73% ( |
| Carlisle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.53% ( | 36.46% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.74% ( | 73.25% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Stockport County | Draw | Carlisle United |
| 1-0 @ 11.38% 2-1 @ 9.69% 2-0 @ 9.6% ( 3-1 @ 5.45% ( 3-0 @ 5.4% ( 3-2 @ 2.75% ( 4-1 @ 2.3% ( 4-0 @ 2.28% 4-2 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 3.26% Total : 53.26% | 1-1 @ 11.48% 0-0 @ 6.75% ( 2-2 @ 4.89% ( 3-3 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.15% | 0-1 @ 6.81% ( 1-2 @ 5.79% ( 0-2 @ 3.44% ( 1-3 @ 1.95% ( 2-3 @ 1.64% ( 0-3 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 1.8% Total : 22.58% |