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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 47.69%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 26.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Carlisle United |
| 47.69% ( | 25.68% ( | 26.63% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.22% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.78% ( | 52.22% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.08% ( | 73.92% ( |
| Tranmere Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.1% ( | 21.9% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.84% ( | 55.16% ( |
| Carlisle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.58% ( | 34.42% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.87% ( | 71.13% |
| Score Analysis |
| Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Carlisle United |
| 1-0 @ 11.44% ( 2-1 @ 9.27% ( 2-0 @ 8.69% ( 3-1 @ 4.69% ( 3-0 @ 4.4% ( 3-2 @ 2.5% ( 4-1 @ 1.78% ( 4-0 @ 1.67% ( 4-2 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 2.28% Total : 47.68% | 1-1 @ 12.21% ( 0-0 @ 7.54% ( 2-2 @ 4.94% ( Other @ 0.99% Total : 25.68% | 0-1 @ 8.04% ( 1-2 @ 6.51% ( 0-2 @ 4.29% ( 1-3 @ 2.32% ( 2-3 @ 1.76% ( 0-3 @ 1.52% ( Other @ 2.2% Total : 26.63% |