League Two

League Two | Gameweek 40

Apr 2, 2022 at 3pm UK

Prenton Park

Tranmere
2 - 2
Carlisle

Hemmings (15'), Nevitt (76')
Hemmings (43'), Davies (44'), Cogley (88'), Murphy (90+1'), Clarke (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Patrick (55'), Sho-Silva (90+7')
Simeu (43'), Feeney (43'), Mellor (64'), Mellish (90+2')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Tranmere Rovers and Carlisle United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tranmere Rovers

Last Six:

Last Game: Leyton Orient 0-1 Tranmere
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	Sutton United	46	16	76
9	Tranmere Rovers	46	13	75
10	Salford City	46	14	70

Carlisle United

Last Six:

Last Game: Bradford 2-0 Carlisle
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
19	Harrogate Town	46	-11	53
20	Carlisle United	46	-23	53
21	Stevenage	46	-23	47

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 53.54%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 21.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.45%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 0-1 (7.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
Tranmere Rovers	Draw	Carlisle United
53.54%	25.12%	21.34%

Both teams to score 47.34%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.46%

54.53%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.11%

75.89%

Tranmere Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.64%

20.36%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.23%

52.77%

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.44%

40.56%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.84%

77.16%

Score Analysis

Tranmere Rovers 53.53%

Carlisle United 21.34%

Draw 25.12%

Tranmere Rovers	Draw	Carlisle United
1-0 @ 13.14% 2-0 @ 10.45% 2-1 @ 9.44% 3-0 @ 5.55% 3-1 @ 5.01% 3-2 @ 2.26% 4-0 @ 2.21% 4-1 @ 1.99% Other @ 3.48% Total : 53.53%	1-1 @ 11.86% 0-0 @ 8.26% 2-2 @ 4.26% Other @ 0.75% Total : 25.12%	0-1 @ 7.45% 1-2 @ 5.35% 0-2 @ 3.36% 1-3 @ 1.61% 2-3 @ 1.28% 0-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.27% Total : 21.34%