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Carlisle United
League Two | Gameweek 39
Mar 26, 2022 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Bristol Rovers

Carlisle
1 - 0
Bristol Rovers

Dennis (72')
Armer (65'), Dickenson (90+6'), Dennis (90+6'), Patrick (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Taylor (90+6'), Saunders (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Carlisle United and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Carlisle United 0-1 Bristol Rovers

Both teams head into this match in vastly different league positions, but they are in great form, picking up results on a regular basis, while they have defended well. They have each been picking up clean sheets as of late, and that could lead to this match being quite a closely-contested one that the visitors will likely just edge. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 43.14%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 30.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawBristol Rovers
30.11%26.74%43.14%
Both teams to score 50.21%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.42%54.57%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.08%75.92%
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.02%32.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.44%69.56%
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.92%25.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.23%59.77%
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 30.11%
    Bristol Rovers 43.13%
    Draw 26.74%
Carlisle UnitedDrawBristol Rovers
1-0 @ 9.17%
2-1 @ 7.04%
2-0 @ 5.09%
3-1 @ 2.6%
3-0 @ 1.88%
3-2 @ 1.8%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 30.11%
1-1 @ 12.69%
0-0 @ 8.27%
2-2 @ 4.87%
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.74%
0-1 @ 11.43%
1-2 @ 8.78%
0-2 @ 7.91%
1-3 @ 4.05%
0-3 @ 3.65%
2-3 @ 2.24%
1-4 @ 1.4%
0-4 @ 1.26%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 43.13%

How you voted: Carlisle vs Bristol Rovers

Carlisle United
33.3%
Draw
22.9%
Bristol Rovers
43.8%
48
Head to Head
Oct 9, 2021 3pm
Bristol Rovers
3-0
Carlisle
Evans (35'), Nicholson (86'), Saunders (90+4')
Harries (23'), Saunders (76'), Thomas (88'), Whelan (90')

Feeney (16'), Devine (26'), Alessandra (38'), Armer (60'), Guy (61'), Mellish (74')
Mar 28, 2016 3pm
Carlisle
3-2
Bristol Rovers
Stacey (11'), Wyke (49'), Kennedy (85')
Miller (74'), Ibehre (90'), Ellis (90')
Bodin (27'), Taylor (57')
Parkes (51'), Lines (72')
Nov 14, 2015 3pm
Jan 15, 2011 3pm
Carlisle
4-0
Bristol Rovers
Cooper (73'), Berrett (44' pen., 82' pen.), Curran (57')
Thirlwell (41')

Sawyer (7')
Coles (51')
Oct 30, 2010 3pm
Bristol Rovers
1-1
Carlisle
Lines (48')
Campbell (39'), Sawyer (90'), Hughes (90')
Grella (87')
Berrett (30'), Taiwo (47'), Michalik (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CStockport CountyStockport462711896484892
4MK Dons462391483681578
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster46218177368571
6Crewe AlexandraCrewe461914136965471
7Crawley TownCrawley46217187367670
8BarrowBarrow461815136256669
9Bradford CityBradford461912156159269
10AFC Wimbledon4617141564511365
11Walsall461811176973-465
12Gillingham461810184657-1164
13Harrogate TownHarrogate461712176069-963
14Notts County46187218986361
15Morecambe461710196781-1458
16Tranmere RoversTranmere46176236770-357
17Accrington StanleyAccrington46169216371-857
18Newport CountyNewport46167236276-1455
19Swindon TownSwindon461412207783-654
20Salford City461312216682-1651
21Grimsby Town461116195774-1749
22Colchester UnitedColchester461112235980-2145
RSutton UnitedSutton46915225984-2542
RForest Green RoversForest Green46119264478-3442


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