League Two Gameweek 17
Oct 29, 2022 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 0
FT The Cherry Red Records Stadium
  • Paul Kalambayi 39' goal
  • Courtney Senior 84' goal
  • Josh Davison 88' goal
  • goal Matty Daly 48'
  • goal Rory McArdle 65'

AFC Wimbledon vs Harrogate Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
Last game
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
AFC Wimbledon 1 - 1 Crewe
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Ali Al-Hamadi

Harrogate Town

All competitions
Last game
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
Walsall 3 - 1 Harrogate
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Luke Armstrong

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 49.88%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.02%) and 2-1 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.45%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 0-1 (8.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.

Result

AFC Wimbledon 49.88% (-0.03)
Draw 26.73% (-0.01)
Harrogate Town 23.4% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.32% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 41.57% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 58.43% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 20.97% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 79.03% (-0.03)

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 0.5 76.45% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 23.55%
Over 1.5 42.39% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 57.61% (+0.01)

Harrogate Town Goals

Over 0.5 59.28% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 40.73% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 22.69% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 77.31% (-0.04)

Score analysis

AFC Wimbledon 49.86%
Draw 26.72%
Harrogate Town 23.4%
AFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 13.86% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 10.02% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.01% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.83% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.34% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.95% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.75% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.57%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 49.86%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.45%
0-0 @ 9.59% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.05% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 26.72%
Harrogate Town
0-1 @ 8.62% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 5.6% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.87% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.68% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.21% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.16% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 23.4%