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Championship header 2

League Two

AFC Wimbledon
League Two | Gameweek 17
Oct 29, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Cherry Red Records Stadium
Harrogate Town

AFC Wimbledon
3 - 2
Harrogate

Kalambayi (39'), Senior (84'), Davison (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Daly (48'), McArdle (65')
Coverage of the League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and Harrogate Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-1 Crewe
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in League Two

Harrogate Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Walsall 3-1 Harrogate
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 49.88%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.02%) and 2-1 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.45%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 0-1 (8.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawHarrogate Town
49.88% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)26.73% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)23.4% (0.029 0.03)
Both teams to score 45.32% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.57% (0.024999999999999 0.02)58.43% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.97% (0.020999999999997 0.02)79.03% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.45% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)23.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.39% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)57.61% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.28% (0.042999999999999 0.04)40.73% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.69% (0.038 0.04)77.31% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 49.86%
    Harrogate Town 23.4%
    Draw 26.72%
AFC WimbledonDrawHarrogate Town
1-0 @ 13.86% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 10.02% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.01% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 4.83% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.34% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-2 @ 1.95% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.75% (-0.002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.57%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 49.86%
1-1 @ 12.45%
0-0 @ 9.59% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.05% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 26.72%
0-1 @ 8.62% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 5.6% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.87% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 1.68% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.21% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 23.4%

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