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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 48.49%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 24.62%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.62%) and 2-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (8.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 48.49% ( | 26.89% ( | 24.62% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.05% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.92% ( | 58.08% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.25% ( | 78.75% ( |
| AFC Wimbledon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.97% ( | 24.04% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.7% ( | 58.3% ( |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.62% ( | 39.38% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.92% ( | 76.08% |
| Score Analysis |
| AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 1-0 @ 13.49% 2-0 @ 9.62% ( 2-1 @ 8.96% ( 3-0 @ 4.57% ( 3-1 @ 4.26% ( 3-2 @ 1.99% ( 4-0 @ 1.63% ( 4-1 @ 1.52% Other @ 2.45% Total : 48.49% | 1-1 @ 12.57% 0-0 @ 9.47% ( 2-2 @ 4.18% ( Other @ 0.67% Total : 26.88% | 0-1 @ 8.82% ( 1-2 @ 5.86% 0-2 @ 4.11% ( 1-3 @ 1.82% 2-3 @ 1.3% ( 0-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 1.43% Total : 24.62% |