FA Cup

FA Cup | Second Round

Nov 26, 2022 at 3pm UK

Poundland Bescot Stadium

Walsall
2 - 1
Carlisle

Williams (88'), James-Taylor (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Edmondson (29')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Walsall and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Walsall

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Walsall 2-1 Crawley
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Carlisle United

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Salford City 1-4 Carlisle
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 41.31%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 32.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Walsall would win this match.

Result
Walsall	Draw	Carlisle United
41.31% ( -0.03)	26.28% ( -0.01)	32.42% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 52.58% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.04% (

0.04)

51.95% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.3% (

0.04)

73.7% (

-0.04)

Walsall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.16% (

24.84% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.56% (

59.43% (

-0)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.96% (

0.04)

30.03% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.84% (

0.06)

66.16% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Walsall 41.31%

Carlisle United 32.42%

Draw 26.27%

Walsall	Draw	Carlisle United
1-0 @ 10.39% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.7% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.24% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.04% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.36% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.43% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.41% 4-0 @ 1.17% ( -0) Other @ 2.57% Total : 41.31%	1-1 @ 12.49% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.46% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.23% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.27%	0-1 @ 8.97% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.52% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.4% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.01% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 2.35% Total : 32.42%