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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 40.02%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 30.27% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.02%) and 2-1 (7.69%). The likeliest Walsall win was 0-1 (11.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Carlisle United in this match.
| Result | ||
| Carlisle United | Draw | Walsall |
| 40.02% | 29.71% | 30.27% |
| Both teams to score 42.1% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.23% | 64.77% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.27% | 83.73% |
| Carlisle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.3% | 31.7% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.88% | 68.11% |
| Walsall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.64% | 38.35% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.89% | 75.11% |
| Score Analysis |
| Carlisle United | Draw | Walsall |
| 1-0 @ 13.96% 2-0 @ 8.02% 2-1 @ 7.69% 3-0 @ 3.07% 3-1 @ 2.95% 3-2 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.91% Total : 40.01% | 1-1 @ 13.38% 0-0 @ 12.15% 2-2 @ 3.69% Other @ 0.48% Total : 29.7% | 0-1 @ 11.65% 1-2 @ 6.41% 0-2 @ 5.58% 1-3 @ 2.05% 0-3 @ 1.78% 2-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.61% Total : 30.27% |