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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 55.8%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 20.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.31%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (6.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Walsall would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Walsall | Draw | Crawley Town |
| 55.8% ( | 23.79% ( | 20.41% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.9% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.53% ( | 50.46% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.6% ( | 72.39% ( |
| Walsall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.07% ( | 17.93% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.25% ( | 48.74% ( |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.8% ( | 39.2% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.09% ( | 75.91% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Walsall | Draw | Crawley Town |
| 1-0 @ 12.07% ( 2-0 @ 10.38% ( 2-1 @ 9.72% ( 3-0 @ 5.95% ( 3-1 @ 5.57% ( 3-2 @ 2.61% ( 4-0 @ 2.56% ( 4-1 @ 2.39% ( 4-2 @ 1.12% ( Other @ 3.42% Total : 55.79% | 1-1 @ 11.31% ( 0-0 @ 7.03% ( 2-2 @ 4.55% ( Other @ 0.9% Total : 23.79% | 0-1 @ 6.58% ( 1-2 @ 5.3% ( 0-2 @ 3.08% ( 1-3 @ 1.65% ( 2-3 @ 1.42% ( 0-3 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 1.41% Total : 20.41% |