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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 55.8%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 20.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.31%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (6.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Walsall would win this match.
Result | ||
Walsall | Draw | Crawley Town |
55.8% ( -0.13) | 23.79% ( 0) | 20.41% ( 0.13) |
Both teams to score 49.9% ( 0.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.53% ( 0.15) | 50.46% ( -0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.6% ( 0.13) | 72.39% ( -0.13) |
Walsall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.07% ( 0.01) | 17.93% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.25% ( 0.01) | 48.74% ( -0.01) |
Crawley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.8% ( 0.22) | 39.2% ( -0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.09% ( 0.2) | 75.91% ( -0.2) |
Score Analysis |
Walsall | Draw | Crawley Town |
1-0 @ 12.07% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 10.38% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.72% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.95% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.57% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.56% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.39% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.42% Total : 55.79% | 1-1 @ 11.31% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.03% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.55% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.9% Total : 23.79% | 0-1 @ 6.58% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.3% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.41% Total : 20.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
2 | Port Vale | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 36 |
3 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 34 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 33 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 33 |
6 | Chesterfield | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 31 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 20 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 31 |
8 | MK Dons | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 30 |
9 | Gillingham | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 28 |
11 | Notts County | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 28 |
12 | Salford City | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 27 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 26 |
14 | Bromley | 19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 24 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 23 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 23 |
17 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 22 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 22 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 21 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 18 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 16 |
23 | Morecambe | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 14 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 14 |
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