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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 40.86%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 32.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-0 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crawley Town | Draw | Barrow |
| 32.35% ( | 26.79% ( | 40.86% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.94% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.95% ( | 54.05% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.52% ( | 75.48% ( |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.86% ( | 31.13% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.54% ( | 67.46% ( |
| Barrow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.97% ( | 26.02% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.94% ( | 61.05% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Crawley Town | Draw | Barrow |
| 1-0 @ 9.45% ( 2-1 @ 7.43% ( 2-0 @ 5.52% ( 3-1 @ 2.89% ( 3-0 @ 2.15% ( 3-2 @ 1.94% ( Other @ 2.97% Total : 32.35% | 1-1 @ 12.72% ( 0-0 @ 8.1% ( 2-2 @ 5% ( Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.78% | 0-1 @ 10.9% ( 1-2 @ 8.57% ( 0-2 @ 7.34% ( 1-3 @ 3.84% ( 0-3 @ 3.29% ( 2-3 @ 2.24% ( 1-4 @ 1.29% ( 0-4 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 2.26% Total : 40.85% |