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FA Cup

Barrow
FA Cup | First Round
Nov 5, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Dunes Hotel Stadium
Mansfield Town

Barrow
0 - 1
Mansfield

FT(HT: 0-1)
Hawkins (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Barrow and Mansfield Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barrow

All competitions
Last Game: Barrow 3-1 Colchester
Tuesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in League Two

Mansfield Town

All competitions
Last Game: Mansfield 2-5 Swindon
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 45.55%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 28.27% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (8.32%). The likeliest Barrow win was 1-0 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Mansfield Town in this match.

Result
BarrowDrawMansfield Town
28.27% (0.050999999999998 0.05)26.18% (0.023 0.02)45.55% (-0.074000000000005 -0.07)
Both teams to score 50.88% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.78% (-0.067 -0.07)53.21% (0.064 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.22% (-0.053999999999998 -0.05)74.77% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Barrow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)33.65% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.69% (0.0030000000000001 0)70.3% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.7% (-0.064000000000007 -0.06)23.3% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.75% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)57.24% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Barrow 28.27%
    Mansfield Town 45.55%
    Draw 26.18%
BarrowDrawMansfield Town
1-0 @ 8.54% (0.023 0.02)
2-1 @ 6.77% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.65% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.46% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 1.79% (-0.002 -0)
3-0 @ 1.69% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 28.27%
1-1 @ 12.44% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.84% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.93% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.18%
0-1 @ 11.42% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.06% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.32% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.4% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.04% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.4% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.6% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.47% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 45.55%

How you voted: Barrow vs Mansfield

Barrow
48.0%
Draw
12.0%
Mansfield Town
40.0%
25
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Barrow
0-1
Mansfield
Bowery (50')
Clarke (32')
Jan 22, 2022 3pm
Barrow
1-3
Mansfield
Jones (17')
White (34'), Banks (67'), Kay (85')
Oates (1'), McLaughlin (25'), Bowery (68')
Rawson (35'), Hawkins (44'), Stirk (45+3')
Rawson (39')
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Mansfield
0-1
Barrow

McLaughlin (36'), Lapslie (43'), Charsley (53'), Maris (67')
Rawson (90+6')
Banks (55' pen.)
Jones (25'), Ellis (34'), Gordon (45+3'), Banks (63')
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Barrow
2-0
Mansfield
Brough (74', 77')

Clarke (26'), Sweeney (46'), Gordon (73'), Reid (81')
Sweeney (63')
Oct 27, 2020 7pm
Mansfield
2-4
Barrow
Perch (35'), Charsley (89')
O'Driscoll (21')
O'Driscoll (51')
Barry (10'), Brough (23'), Kay (61'), Biggins (79')
Platt (15'), Kay (43'), Barry (90+2')
rhs 2.0


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