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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 49.76%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Swindon Town had a probability of 24.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%), while for a Swindon Town win it was 0-1 (7.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Mansfield Town | Draw | Swindon Town |
49.76% ( -0.04) | 25.25% ( 0.01) | 24.99% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 51.07% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.29% ( 0) | 51.7% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.52% ( 0) | 73.48% ( -0) |
Mansfield Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.2% ( -0.02) | 20.79% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.55% ( -0.03) | 53.45% ( 0.02) |
Swindon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.47% ( 0.03) | 35.52% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.71% ( 0.03) | 72.29% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Mansfield Town | Draw | Swindon Town |
1-0 @ 11.6% 2-1 @ 9.43% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.11% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.94% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.77% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.55% 4-1 @ 1.94% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.87% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1% Other @ 2.55% Total : 49.76% | 1-1 @ 12% 0-0 @ 7.39% 2-2 @ 4.88% ( 0) Other @ 0.98% Total : 25.24% | 0-1 @ 7.65% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.21% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.96% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.14% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.68% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.37% ( 0) Other @ 1.99% Total : 24.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Stockport CountyStockport | 44 | 26 | 11 | 7 | 91 | 44 | 47 | 89 |
P | Mansfield TownMansfield | 44 | 23 | 13 | 8 | 87 | 45 | 42 | 82 |
P | Wrexham | 44 | 24 | 10 | 10 | 84 | 51 | 33 | 82 |
4 | MK Dons | 44 | 22 | 8 | 14 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 74 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 44 | 19 | 13 | 12 | 68 | 61 | 7 | 70 |
6 | BarrowBarrow | 43 | 18 | 14 | 11 | 58 | 49 | 9 | 68 |
7 | Crawley TownCrawley | 44 | 20 | 6 | 18 | 69 | 65 | 4 | 66 |
8 | Walsall | 44 | 18 | 11 | 15 | 66 | 65 | 1 | 65 |
9 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 43 | 19 | 7 | 17 | 63 | 63 | 0 | 64 |
10 | Gillingham | 44 | 18 | 9 | 17 | 43 | 53 | -10 | 63 |
11 | AFC Wimbledon | 44 | 16 | 14 | 14 | 57 | 47 | 10 | 62 |
12 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 44 | 17 | 11 | 16 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 62 |
13 | Bradford CityBradford | 43 | 16 | 12 | 15 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 60 |
14 | Notts County | 44 | 17 | 7 | 20 | 88 | 85 | 3 | 58 |
15 | Morecambe | 44 | 17 | 9 | 18 | 63 | 76 | -13 | 57 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 44 | 16 | 7 | 21 | 61 | 71 | -10 | 55 |
17 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 44 | 16 | 6 | 22 | 63 | 64 | -1 | 54 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 44 | 15 | 9 | 20 | 57 | 66 | -9 | 54 |
19 | Swindon TownSwindon | 44 | 14 | 11 | 19 | 74 | 78 | -4 | 53 |
20 | Salford City | 44 | 12 | 11 | 21 | 63 | 80 | -17 | 47 |
21 | Grimsby Town | 44 | 10 | 16 | 18 | 55 | 72 | -17 | 46 |
22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 43 | 11 | 11 | 21 | 57 | 74 | -17 | 44 |
23 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 44 | 9 | 13 | 22 | 53 | 78 | -25 | 40 |
R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 44 | 9 | 9 | 26 | 41 | 77 | -36 | 36 |
> League Two Full Table |