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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 49.76%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Swindon Town had a probability of 24.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%), while for a Swindon Town win it was 0-1 (7.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Swindon Town |
| 49.76% ( | 25.25% ( | 24.99% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.07% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.29% ( | 51.7% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.52% ( | 73.48% ( |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.2% ( | 20.79% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.55% ( | 53.45% ( |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.47% ( | 35.52% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.71% ( | 72.29% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Swindon Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.6% 2-1 @ 9.43% ( 2-0 @ 9.11% ( 3-1 @ 4.94% ( 3-0 @ 4.77% ( 3-2 @ 2.55% 4-1 @ 1.94% ( 4-0 @ 1.87% ( 4-2 @ 1% Other @ 2.55% Total : 49.76% | 1-1 @ 12% 0-0 @ 7.39% 2-2 @ 4.88% ( Other @ 0.98% Total : 25.24% | 0-1 @ 7.65% ( 1-2 @ 6.21% ( 0-2 @ 3.96% ( 1-3 @ 2.14% ( 2-3 @ 1.68% ( 0-3 @ 1.37% ( Other @ 1.99% Total : 24.99% |