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Championship header 2

League Two

Barrow
League Two | Gameweek 8
Nov 1, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The Dunes Hotel Stadium
Colchester United

Barrow
3 - 1
Colchester

Waters (22', 25', 46')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Sears (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Barrow and Colchester United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barrow

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Barrow 3-0 Crewe
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League Two

Colchester United

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Colchester 1-1 Stevenage
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 51.49%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Colchester United had a probability of 21.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.76%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for a Colchester United win it was 0-1 (8.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barrow would win this match.

Result
BarrowDrawColchester United
51.49% (2.857 2.86)26.96% (-0.876 -0.88)21.55% (-1.98 -1.98)
Both teams to score 42.75% (0.13 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.31% (1.28 1.28)60.69% (-1.28 -1.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.24% (0.954 0.95)80.76% (-0.95299999999999 -0.95)
Barrow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.2% (1.904 1.9)23.8% (-1.904 -1.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.04% (2.662 2.66)57.96% (-2.662 -2.66)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.11% (-1.261 -1.26)43.89% (1.262 1.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.96% (-1.059 -1.06)80.03% (1.057 1.06)
Score Analysis
    Barrow 51.49%
    Colchester United 21.55%
    Draw 26.95%
BarrowDrawColchester United
1-0 @ 14.99% (0.11 0.11)
2-0 @ 10.76% (0.65 0.65)
2-1 @ 8.86% (0.242 0.24)
3-0 @ 5.15% (0.572 0.57)
3-1 @ 4.24% (0.337 0.34)
4-0 @ 1.85% (0.293 0.29)
3-2 @ 1.75% (0.082 0.08)
4-1 @ 1.52% (0.196 0.2)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 51.49%
1-1 @ 12.34% (-0.35 -0.35)
0-0 @ 10.44% (-0.51 -0.51)
2-2 @ 3.65% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 26.95%
0-1 @ 8.6% (-0.741 -0.74)
1-2 @ 5.08% (-0.327 -0.33)
0-2 @ 3.54% (-0.441 -0.44)
1-3 @ 1.4% (-0.142 -0.14)
2-3 @ 1% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-3 @ 0.97% (-0.16 -0.16)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 21.55%

How you voted: Barrow vs Colchester

Barrow
77.4%
Draw
9.7%
Colchester United
12.9%
31
Head to Head
Jan 15, 2022 3pm
Colchester
0-2
Barrow

Dallison (78')
Dallison (54' og.), Kay (90+1')
Platt (24'), Hutton (81'), Jones (84')
Sep 10, 2021 7.45pm
Barrow
2-3
Colchester
Stevens (25'), Banks (76' pen.)
Jones (88'), Banks (89')
Jones (90')
Judge (35'), Sears (38'), Eastman (80')
Chambers (50'), Sarpong-Wiredu (64'), Hannant (72'), Coxe (79'), Nouble (88'), Skuse (89')
Chambers (68')
Apr 5, 2021 3pm
Colchester
1-1
Barrow
Harriott (33')
Beadling (88')
Taylor (82')
Sep 26, 2020 3pm
Barrow
1-1
Colchester
Jones (54')
Beadling (57')
Chilvers (34')
Welch-Hayes (54'), Smith (90'), Cowan-Hall (90+2')