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Championship header 2

League Two
Salford City
League Two | Gameweek 19
Nov 19, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Peninsula Stadium
Carlisle United

Salford City
1 - 4
Carlisle

Smith (52')
Nartey (45+2'), Leak (65'), Hendry (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dennis (3', 80'), Guy (67'), Whelan (72')
Guy (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Salford City and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Salford City

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Salford City 0-3 Peterborough
Wednesday, November 16 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

Carlisle United

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 0-0 Walsall
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Salford City 0-2 Carlisle United

 Salford have endured a torrid time in front of goal in recent weeks and we expect Carlisle to take full advantage of that on Saturday. We think the Cumbrians will be too strong for the Ammies, and Salford's goal drought will continue. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 41.93%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 31.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.

Result
Salford CityDrawCarlisle United
41.93% (0.023000000000003 0.02) 26.28% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 31.79% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)
Both teams to score 52.37% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.86% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)52.14% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.14% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)73.86% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.4% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)24.6% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.9% (0.010000000000005 0.01)59.11% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.45% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)30.55% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.23% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)66.77% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Salford City 41.92%
    Carlisle United 31.79%
    Draw 26.27%
Salford CityDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 10.53%
2-1 @ 8.76% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 7.39% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 4.1% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 3.45% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.43%
4-1 @ 1.44% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.21% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 41.92%
1-1 @ 12.49%
0-0 @ 7.52% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.2% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-3 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.27%
0-1 @ 8.91% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-2 @ 7.41% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 5.29% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 2.93% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
0-3 @ 2.09% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.05% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 31.79%

How you voted: Salford City vs Carlisle

Salford City
27.8%
Draw
33.3%
Carlisle United
38.9%
18
Head to Head
Feb 1, 2022 7.45pm
Salford City
2-1
Carlisle
Watson (52' pen.), Smith (71')
Patrick (67')
Feeney (62'), Riley (82')
Sep 4, 2021 3pm
Carlisle
2-1
Salford City
Dickenson (8'), Mellish (60')
Abrahams (29'), Clough (37'), Guy (84')
Morris (44')
Turnbull (39'), Lowe (70')
Feb 20, 2021 3pm
Salford City
1-1
Carlisle
Wilson (79')
Touray (17'), Turnbull (58')
Tanner (11')
Bennett (45+1'), Mellish (55')
Dec 2, 2020 7pm
Carlisle
2-1
Salford City
Alessandra (33'), Bennett (55')
Guy (2'), Mellish (36'), Kayode (45'), Tanner (66')
Dieseruvwe (90')
Touray (64'), Bernard (88')
Apr 10, 2020 3pm
Salford City
P-P
Carlisle
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall18114334191537
2Port Vale1910542619735
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster199642822633
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe188732216631
5Grimsby Town1910182728-131
6AFC Wimbledon1893630161430
7MK Dons1793530191130
8Chesterfield1977533231028
9Notts County187742518728
10Gillingham188281916326
11Bradford CityBradford186752319425
12Salford City186661719-224
13BarrowBarrow186571817123
14Bromley185852323023
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham196582528-323
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood175752322122
17Newport CountyNewport186482128-722
18Colchester UnitedColchester184952322121
19Harrogate TownHarrogate1963101628-1221
20Accrington StanleyAccrington184682533-818
21Tranmere RoversTranmere184681225-1318
22Swindon TownSwindon193792333-1016
23Morecambe1935111934-1514
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1835101530-1514
> League Two Full Table


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