League Two

League Two | Gameweek 19

Nov 19, 2022 at 3pm UK

The Peninsula Stadium

Salford City
1 - 4
Carlisle

Smith (52')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Dennis (3', 80'), Guy (67'), Whelan (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Salford City and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Salford City

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Salford City 0-3 Peterborough
Wednesday, November 16 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Carlisle United

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Carlisle 0-0 Walsall
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 41.93%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 31.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.

Result
Salford City	Draw	Carlisle United
41.93% ( 0.02)	26.28% ( -0)	31.79% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 52.37% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.86% (

-0.01)

52.14% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.14% (

-0.01)

73.86% (

0.01)

Salford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.4% (

0.01)

24.6% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.9% (

0.01)

59.11% (

-0.01)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.45% (

-0.02)

30.55% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.23% (

-0.02)

66.77% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Salford City 41.92%

Carlisle United 31.79%

Draw 26.27%

Salford City	Draw	Carlisle United
1-0 @ 10.53% 2-1 @ 8.76% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.39% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.1% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.45% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.43% 4-1 @ 1.44% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.21% ( 0) Other @ 2.61% Total : 41.92%	1-1 @ 12.49% 0-0 @ 7.52% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.2% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.27%	0-1 @ 8.91% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.41% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.29% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.93% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.09% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.05% ( -0) Other @ 3.11% Total : 31.79%