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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 55.05%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 20.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.6%) and 1-2 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 1-0 (7.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salford City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Salford City |
| 20.49% ( | 24.46% ( | 55.05% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.08% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.05% ( | 52.95% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.45% ( | 74.55% ( |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.47% ( | 40.53% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.86% ( | 77.13% ( |
| Salford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.85% ( | 19.15% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.2% ( | 50.8% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Salford City |
| 1-0 @ 7.01% ( 2-1 @ 5.23% ( 2-0 @ 3.17% ( 3-1 @ 1.58% ( 3-2 @ 1.3% ( 3-0 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 1.26% Total : 20.49% | 1-1 @ 11.58% ( 0-0 @ 7.76% ( 2-2 @ 4.32% ( Other @ 0.79% Total : 24.45% | 0-1 @ 12.82% ( 0-2 @ 10.6% ( 1-2 @ 9.58% ( 0-3 @ 5.84% ( 1-3 @ 5.28% ( 0-4 @ 2.41% ( 2-3 @ 2.38% ( 1-4 @ 2.18% ( 2-4 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 2.96% Total : 55.04% |