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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 36.77%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 36.11% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.03%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Salford City win was 0-1 (10.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rochdale in this match.
Result | ||
Rochdale | Draw | Salford City |
36.77% ( 2.28) | 27.12% ( 0.24) | 36.11% ( -2.52) |
Both teams to score 50.52% ( -0.62) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.13% ( -0.84) | 54.86% ( 0.84) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.84% ( -0.7) | 76.16% ( 0.7) |
Rochdale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.27% ( 0.99) | 28.72% ( -1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.44% ( 1.22) | 64.55% ( -1.22) |
Salford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.87% ( -1.88) | 29.12% ( 1.88) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.95% ( -2.38) | 65.05% ( 2.38) |
Score Analysis |
Rochdale | Draw | Salford City |
1-0 @ 10.43% ( 0.61) 2-1 @ 8.03% ( 0.28) 2-0 @ 6.51% ( 0.55) 3-1 @ 3.34% ( 0.2) 3-0 @ 2.71% ( 0.3) 3-2 @ 2.06% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.65% Total : 36.76% | 1-1 @ 12.87% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 8.36% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.93% Total : 27.12% | 0-1 @ 10.31% ( -0.21) 1-2 @ 7.94% ( -0.36) 0-2 @ 6.37% ( -0.48) 1-3 @ 3.27% ( -0.34) 0-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.35) 2-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.15) 1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.16) Other @ 2.55% Total : 36.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Stockport CountyStockport | 45 | 27 | 11 | 7 | 95 | 46 | 49 | 92 |
P | Mansfield TownMansfield | 45 | 24 | 13 | 8 | 89 | 46 | 43 | 85 |
P | Wrexham | 45 | 25 | 10 | 10 | 87 | 51 | 36 | 85 |
4 | MK Dons | 45 | 23 | 8 | 14 | 79 | 64 | 15 | 77 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 45 | 21 | 7 | 17 | 71 | 66 | 5 | 70 |
6 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 45 | 19 | 13 | 13 | 68 | 64 | 4 | 70 |
7 | BarrowBarrow | 45 | 18 | 14 | 13 | 61 | 55 | 6 | 68 |
8 | Crawley TownCrawley | 45 | 20 | 7 | 18 | 71 | 67 | 4 | 67 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 45 | 18 | 12 | 15 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 66 |
10 | Walsall | 45 | 18 | 11 | 16 | 68 | 68 | 0 | 65 |
11 | Gillingham | 45 | 18 | 9 | 18 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 63 |
12 | AFC Wimbledon | 45 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 62 |
13 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 45 | 17 | 11 | 17 | 58 | 67 | -9 | 62 |
14 | Notts County | 45 | 18 | 7 | 20 | 89 | 85 | 4 | 61 |
15 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 45 | 17 | 6 | 22 | 66 | 66 | 0 | 57 |
16 | Morecambe | 45 | 17 | 9 | 19 | 64 | 78 | -14 | 57 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 45 | 16 | 7 | 22 | 61 | 72 | -11 | 55 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 45 | 15 | 9 | 21 | 59 | 70 | -11 | 54 |
19 | Swindon TownSwindon | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 74 | 80 | -6 | 53 |
20 | Salford City | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 64 | 80 | -16 | 50 |
21 | Grimsby Town | 45 | 11 | 16 | 18 | 57 | 72 | -15 | 49 |
22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 45 | 11 | 11 | 23 | 58 | 79 | -21 | 44 |
23 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 45 | 9 | 14 | 22 | 55 | 80 | -25 | 41 |
R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 45 | 10 | 9 | 26 | 43 | 78 | -35 | 39 |
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