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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 36.77%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 36.11% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.03%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Salford City win was 0-1 (10.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rochdale in this match.
| Result | ||
| Rochdale | Draw | Salford City |
| 36.77% ( | 27.12% ( | 36.11% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.52% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.13% ( | 54.86% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.84% ( | 76.16% ( |
| Rochdale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.27% ( | 28.72% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.44% ( | 64.55% ( |
| Salford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.87% ( | 29.12% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.95% ( | 65.05% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Rochdale | Draw | Salford City |
| 1-0 @ 10.43% ( 2-1 @ 8.03% ( 2-0 @ 6.51% ( 3-1 @ 3.34% ( 3-0 @ 2.71% ( 3-2 @ 2.06% ( 4-1 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 2.65% Total : 36.76% | 1-1 @ 12.87% ( 0-0 @ 8.36% ( 2-2 @ 4.95% ( Other @ 0.93% Total : 27.12% | 0-1 @ 10.31% ( 1-2 @ 7.94% ( 0-2 @ 6.37% ( 1-3 @ 3.27% ( 0-3 @ 2.62% ( 2-3 @ 2.04% ( 1-4 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 2.55% Total : 36.1% |