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Rochdale
League Two | Gameweek 8
Nov 8, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Crown Oil Arena
Salford City

Rochdale
1 - 0
Salford City

Henderson (80')
Odoh (61')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Galbraith (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Rochdale and Salford City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Rochdale 1-2 Salford City

Rochdale will be looking to get one over Salford City following their penalty shootout defeat in October's EFL Trophy clash. However, the Dale have suffered a drop-off in recent weeks, losing four of their last five outings. We predict that Salford will maintain their fine away form and come away with a slender victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 36.77%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 36.11% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.03%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Salford City win was 0-1 (10.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rochdale in this match.

Result
RochdaleDrawSalford City
36.77% (2.28 2.28) 27.12% (0.236 0.24) 36.11% (-2.517 -2.52)
Both teams to score 50.52% (-0.617 -0.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.13% (-0.838 -0.84)54.86% (0.838 0.84)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.84% (-0.698 -0.7)76.16% (0.697 0.7)
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.27% (0.99499999999999 0.99)28.72% (-0.996 -1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.44% (1.224 1.22)64.55% (-1.225 -1.22)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.87% (-1.881 -1.88)29.12% (1.88 1.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.95% (-2.383 -2.38)65.05% (2.381 2.38)
Score Analysis
    Rochdale 36.76%
    Salford City 36.1%
    Draw 27.12%
RochdaleDrawSalford City
1-0 @ 10.43% (0.607 0.61)
2-1 @ 8.03% (0.279 0.28)
2-0 @ 6.51% (0.548 0.55)
3-1 @ 3.34% (0.204 0.2)
3-0 @ 2.71% (0.295 0.3)
3-2 @ 2.06% (0.022 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.04% (0.09 0.09)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 36.76%
1-1 @ 12.87% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 8.36% (0.269 0.27)
2-2 @ 4.95% (-0.087 -0.09)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 27.12%
0-1 @ 10.31% (-0.21 -0.21)
1-2 @ 7.94% (-0.365 -0.36)
0-2 @ 6.37% (-0.48 -0.48)
1-3 @ 3.27% (-0.335 -0.34)
0-3 @ 2.62% (-0.349 -0.35)
2-3 @ 2.04% (-0.148 -0.15)
1-4 @ 1.01% (-0.164 -0.16)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 36.1%

How you voted: Rochdale vs Salford City

Rochdale
23.1%
Draw
30.8%
Salford City
46.2%
13
Head to Head
Oct 18, 2022 7pm
Rochdale
2-2
Salford City
Salford City win 4-2 on penalties
Henderson (42'), Kelly (90+4')
Simoes (69'), Hendry (71')
Simoes (84')
Mar 15, 2022 7.45pm
Oct 19, 2021 7.45pm
Nov 10, 2020 7pm
Rochdale
1-2
Salford City
Beesley (8')
Rathbone (80'), (90+6')
Andrade (53'), Dieseruvwe (82' pen.)
(57'), Burgess (90+4')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CStockport CountyStockport452711795464992
4MK Dons452381479641577
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster45217177166570
6Crewe AlexandraCrewe451913136864470
7BarrowBarrow451814136155668
8Crawley TownCrawley45207187167467
9Bradford CityBradford451812155758-166
10Walsall451811166868065
11Gillingham45189184455-1163
12AFC Wimbledon451614155950962
13Harrogate TownHarrogate451711175867-962
14Notts County45187208985461
15Tranmere RoversTranmere45176226666057
16Morecambe45179196478-1457
17Newport CountyNewport45167226172-1155
18Accrington StanleyAccrington45159215970-1154
19Swindon TownSwindon451411207480-653
20Salford City451311216480-1650
21Grimsby Town451116185772-1549
22Colchester UnitedColchester451111235879-2144
23Sutton UnitedSutton45914225580-2541
RForest Green RoversForest Green45109264378-3539


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