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Rochdale
League Two | Gameweek 8
Nov 8, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Crown Oil Arena
Salford City

Rochdale
1 - 0
Salford City

Henderson (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Rochdale and Salford City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 36.77%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 36.11% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.03%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Salford City win was 0-1 (10.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rochdale in this match.

Result
RochdaleDrawSalford City
36.77% (2.28 2.28)27.12% (0.236 0.24)36.11% (-2.517 -2.52)
Both teams to score 50.52% (-0.617 -0.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.13% (-0.838 -0.84)54.86% (0.838 0.84)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.84% (-0.698 -0.7)76.16% (0.697 0.7)
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.27% (0.99499999999999 0.99)28.72% (-0.996 -1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.44% (1.224 1.22)64.55% (-1.225 -1.22)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.87% (-1.881 -1.88)29.12% (1.88 1.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.95% (-2.383 -2.38)65.05% (2.381 2.38)
Score Analysis
    Rochdale 36.76%
    Salford City 36.1%
    Draw 27.12%
RochdaleDrawSalford City
1-0 @ 10.43% (0.607 0.61)
2-1 @ 8.03% (0.279 0.28)
2-0 @ 6.51% (0.548 0.55)
3-1 @ 3.34% (0.204 0.2)
3-0 @ 2.71% (0.295 0.3)
3-2 @ 2.06% (0.022 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.04% (0.09 0.09)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 36.76%
1-1 @ 12.87% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 8.36% (0.269 0.27)
2-2 @ 4.95% (-0.087 -0.09)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 27.12%
0-1 @ 10.31% (-0.21 -0.21)
1-2 @ 7.94% (-0.365 -0.36)
0-2 @ 6.37% (-0.48 -0.48)
1-3 @ 3.27% (-0.335 -0.34)
0-3 @ 2.62% (-0.349 -0.35)
2-3 @ 2.04% (-0.148 -0.15)
1-4 @ 1.01% (-0.164 -0.16)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 36.1%

How you voted: Rochdale vs Salford City

Rochdale
23.1%
Draw
30.8%
Salford City
46.2%
13
Head to Head
Oct 18, 2022 7pm
Rochdale
2-2
Salford City
Salford City win 4-2 on penalties
Henderson (42'), Kelly (90+4')
Simoes (69'), Hendry (71')
Simoes (84')
Mar 15, 2022 7.45pm
Oct 19, 2021 7.45pm
Nov 10, 2020 7pm
Rochdale
1-2
Salford City
Beesley (8')
Rathbone (80'), (90+6')
Andrade (53'), Dieseruvwe (82' pen.)
(57'), Burgess (90+4')
rhs 2.0


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