FA Cup
Nov 5, 2022 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Memorial Stadium
  • Scott Sinclair 65' goal

Bristol Rovers vs Rochdale - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol Rovers

All competitions

Rochdale

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 52.67%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 24.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 1-2 (6.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bristol Rovers would win this match.

Result

Bristol Rovers 52.67% (+0.10)
Draw 23.18% (-0.02)
Rochdale 24.14% (-0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.78% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.27% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 43.73% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 33.88% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 66.12% (+0.01)

Bristol Rovers Goals

Over 0.5 83.39% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 16.6% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 53.58% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 46.42% (-0.07)

Rochdale Goals

Over 0.5 68.08% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 31.92% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 31.63% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 68.37% (+0.09)

Score analysis

Bristol Rovers 52.67%
Draw 23.18%
Rochdale 24.14%
Bristol Rovers
2-1 @ 9.76% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 9.52% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 8.54% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 5.84% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 5.11% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.33% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.62% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.3% (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.5% (+0.01)
Other @ 4.16%
Total : 52.67%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.86% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.57% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.3% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.18%
Rochdale
1-2 @ 6.21% (-0.02)
0-1 @ 6.05% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3.46% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.36% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.12% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.32% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 24.14%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 45
Apr 30, 2022 3.00pm
3
4
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Luke Charman 11' goal
  • Luke Charman 17' goal
  • Jimmy Keohane 58' yellowcard
  • Corey O'Keeffe 60' goal
  • Max Taylor 69' yellowcard
  • Corey O'Keeffe 83' yellowcard
  • Luke Charman 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Harry Anderson 39'
  • goal Sam Finley 54'
  • goal Aaron Collins 66'
  • goal Aaron Collins 89'
  • goal Elliot Anderson 90'+5'
  • redcard Paul Coutts 90'+8'
League Two Gameweek 21
Dec 11, 2021 3.00pm
4
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Antony Evans 10' goal
  • Aaron Collins 51' goal
  • Harry Anderson 84' goal
  • Aaron Collins 89' goal
  • goal Jake Beesley 60'
  • yellowcard Jake Beesley 64'
  • goal Jake Beesley 66'
League One Gameweek 27
Jan 30, 2021 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Memorial Stadium
  • Luke Leahy 34' goal
  • goal Alex Newby 16'
  • goal Alex Newby 64'
  • yellowcard Stephen Dooley 75'
League One Gameweek 10
Oct 31, 2020 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Crown Oil Arena
  • Alex Newby 25' goal
  • Oliver Rathbone 50' yellowcard
  • Matthew Lund 81' yellowcard
  • Eoghan O'Connell 90' yellowcard
  • goal Sam Nicholson 9'
  • yellowcard Joshua Grant 34'
League One Gameweek 40
Mar 28, 2020 3.00pm
Memorial Stadium
League One Gameweek 17
Nov 2, 2019 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Callum Camps 44' goal
  • goal Victor Adeboyejo 8'
  • goal Eoghan O'Connell 11' (OG)
  • yellowcard Alfie Kilgour 37'
  • yellowcard Abu Ogogo 87'