Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 52.67%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 24.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 1-2 (6.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bristol Rovers would win this match.