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Championship header 2

League Two

Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 18
Nov 12, 2022 at 3pm UK
The County Ground
Tranmere Rovers

Swindon
1 - 1
Tranmere

Wakeling (30')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Hawkes (9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Swindon Town and Tranmere Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Stockport 4-0 Swindon
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup

Tranmere Rovers

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 2-1 Tranmere
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 51.41%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 22.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%), while for a Tranmere Rovers win it was 0-1 (8.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
Swindon TownDrawTranmere Rovers
51.41% (0.033000000000001 0.03)26.03% (0.00099999999999767 0)22.55% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Both teams to score 46.28% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.3% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)56.7% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.35% (-0.029 -0.03)77.65% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.87% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)22.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.49% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)55.51% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Tranmere Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.44% (-0.056999999999995 -0.06)40.56% (0.055 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.83% (-0.052 -0.05)77.16% (0.048999999999992 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 51.39%
    Tranmere Rovers 22.55%
    Draw 26.03%
Swindon TownDrawTranmere Rovers
1-0 @ 13.53% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 10.2% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.21% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 5.13% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.63% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-2 @ 2.09% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.94% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.75%
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 51.39%
1-1 @ 12.21%
0-0 @ 8.98% (0.012 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.16% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 26.03%
0-1 @ 8.1% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 5.51% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.66% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.66% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.25% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.1% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 22.55%

How you voted: Swindon vs Tranmere

Swindon Town
60.0%
Draw
0.0%
Tranmere Rovers
40.0%
5
Head to Head
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
Tranmere
3-0
Swindon
Hemmings (6', 72' pen.), Glatzel (58')
Davies (2')

Mitchell-Lawson (60'), Iandolo (85')
Aug 17, 2021 7.45pm
Swindon
0-0
Tranmere

McKirdy (53')

Davies (50'), Knight-Percival (87'), Murphy (90+5')
Jan 19, 2019 3pm
Tranmere
1-2
Swindon
Norwood (52')
Monthe (88'), Buxton (90')
Richards (20'), Doughty (36')
Aug 18, 2018 3pm
Swindon
3-2
Tranmere
Adebayo (20'), Richards (60'), Romanski (73')
McGlashan (43')
Smith (10'), Norwood (13')
Davies (41'), Banks (73')
Harris (18')
Mar 25, 2014 7.45pm
Tranmere
1-2
Swindon
Power (15')
Robinson (88')
Smith (12'), Storey (68')
Reckford (90')