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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 30.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (7.41%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-0 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crawley Town | Draw | Swindon Town |
| 30.74% ( | 25.3% ( | 43.96% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.08% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.59% ( | 48.41% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.45% ( | 70.55% ( |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.62% ( | 29.38% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.63% ( | 65.37% ( |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78% ( | 21.99% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.7% ( | 55.3% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Crawley Town | Draw | Swindon Town |
| 1-0 @ 7.92% ( 2-1 @ 7.34% ( 2-0 @ 4.85% ( 3-1 @ 3% ( 3-2 @ 2.27% ( 3-0 @ 1.98% ( 4-1 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 2.48% Total : 30.74% | 1-1 @ 11.98% ( 0-0 @ 6.46% ( 2-2 @ 5.56% ( 3-3 @ 1.15% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.29% | 0-1 @ 9.79% ( 1-2 @ 9.08% ( 0-2 @ 7.41% ( 1-3 @ 4.58% ( 0-3 @ 3.74% ( 2-3 @ 2.81% ( 1-4 @ 1.74% ( 0-4 @ 1.42% ( 2-4 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 2.34% Total : 43.96% |