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Crawley Town
League Two | Gameweek 20
Dec 3, 2022 at 3pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Swindon Town

Crawley
2 - 0
Swindon

Tsaroulla (79'), Powell (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Crawley Town and Swindon Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 30.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (7.41%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-0 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
Crawley TownDrawSwindon Town
30.74% (-0.525 -0.52)25.3% (0.149 0.15)43.96% (0.374 0.37)
Both teams to score 55.08% (-0.749 -0.75)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.59% (-0.867 -0.87)48.41% (0.866 0.87)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.45% (-0.797 -0.8)70.55% (0.79700000000001 0.8)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.62% (-0.78500000000001 -0.79)29.38% (0.784 0.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.63% (-0.973 -0.97)65.37% (0.97199999999999 0.97)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78% (-0.19399999999999 -0.19)21.99% (0.193 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.7% (-0.293 -0.29)55.3% (0.292 0.29)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 30.74%
    Swindon Town 43.96%
    Draw 25.29%
Crawley TownDrawSwindon Town
1-0 @ 7.92% (0.11 0.11)
2-1 @ 7.34% (-0.101 -0.1)
2-0 @ 4.85% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.27% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-0 @ 1.98% (-0.059 -0.06)
4-1 @ 0.92% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 30.74%
1-1 @ 11.98% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 6.46% (0.228 0.23)
2-2 @ 5.56% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.29%
0-1 @ 9.79% (0.29 0.29)
1-2 @ 9.08% (0.022 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.41% (0.178 0.18)
1-3 @ 4.58% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.74% (0.068 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.81% (-0.071 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.74% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.42% (0.018 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.06% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 43.96%

How you voted: Crawley vs Swindon

Crawley Town
33.3%
Draw
8.3%
Swindon Town
58.3%
12
Head to Head
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Crawley
3-1
Swindon
Appiah (29'), Nichols (72'), Hutchinson (90+1')
Francillette (59'), Marshall (84')
Davison (50')
Williams (56'), Odimayo (65')
Feb 1, 2022 7.45pm
Swindon
1-1
Crawley
Gladwin (90+2')
Lyden (81'), McKirdy (83')
Powell (41' pen.)
Nichols (54'), Tsaroulla (65'), Powell (77')
Mar 21, 2020 3pm
Oct 26, 2019 3pm
Crawley
0-4
Swindon

Tunnicliffe (47'), Dallison (58'), Grego-Cox (69'), Allarakhia (81')
Doyle (5', 44', 61'), Yates (87')
Grant (66')
Jan 26, 2019 3pm
Swindon
0-1
Crawley
Morais (45')
Sesay (40'), Camara (42'), McNerney (80')
rhs 2.0


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