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Walsall
Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 19
Nov 19, 2022 at 3pm UK
The County Ground
Crewe Alexandra

Swindon
0 - 1
Crewe


Brennan (40'), Iandolo (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Agyei (23' pen.)
King (30')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Swindon Town and Crewe Alexandra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swindon 1-1 Tranmere
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Swindon Town 2-1 Crewe Alexandra

We can envisage an entertaining affair in Wiltshire on Saturday, with the hosts likely to come out on top. Swindon's home form has been impressive in recent weeks, with Crewe's tough slog against hapless Colchester last weekend hardly inspiring confidence that they can avoid defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 69.49%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 11.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.57%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
Swindon TownDrawCrewe Alexandra
69.49% (0.206 0.21) 18.99% (-0.041 -0.04) 11.52% (-0.161 -0.16)
Both teams to score 44.86% (-0.373 -0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.42% (-0.218 -0.22)46.58% (0.222 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.15% (-0.205 -0.21)68.85% (0.20899999999999 0.21)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.75% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)12.25% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.03% (-0.012 -0.01)37.98% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.13% (-0.421 -0.42)48.87% (0.424 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.14% (-0.304 -0.3)83.86% (0.30799999999999 0.31)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 69.48%
    Crewe Alexandra 11.52%
    Draw 18.99%
Swindon TownDrawCrewe Alexandra
2-0 @ 13.19% (0.11 0.11)
1-0 @ 12.57% (0.12 0.12)
2-1 @ 9.45% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
3-0 @ 9.24% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
3-1 @ 6.61% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-0 @ 4.85% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
4-1 @ 3.47% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.37% (-0.038 -0.04)
5-0 @ 2.04% (0.016 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.46% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.24% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 69.48%
1-1 @ 9% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.99% (0.056 0.06)
2-2 @ 3.38% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 18.99%
0-1 @ 4.29% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-2 @ 3.22% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-2 @ 1.54% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 11.52%

How you voted: Swindon vs Crewe

Swindon Town
78.3%
Draw
8.7%
Crewe Alexandra
13.0%
23
Head to Head
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
Crewe
0-3
Swindon

Robertson (79')
Reed (25'), Simpson (52'), Payne (79')
Williams (38'), Reed (75')
Feb 20, 2021 3pm
Swindon
2-1
Crewe
Johnson (10' og.), Twine (90+4')
Thompson (84')
Lowery (5')
Lowery (70')
Dec 1, 2020 7pm
Crewe
4-2
Swindon
Powell (39'), Ng (54'), Lowery (63'), Dale (66')
Grant (20'), Smith (38')
Broadbent (68')
Jan 11, 2020 3pm
Swindon
3-1
Crewe
Hunt (32'), Yates (69'), Rose (72')
Caddis (80'), Woolery (95')
Anene (61')
Oct 19, 2019 3pm
Crewe
3-1
Swindon
Porter (59', 90'), Kirk (94')
Doyle (37')
Woolery (76'), Rose (78'), Lyden (80'), Doyle (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Rams
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49ers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall18114334191537
2Port Vale1910542619735
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster199642822633
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe188732216631
5Grimsby Town1910182728-131
6AFC Wimbledon1893630161430
7MK Dons1793530191130
8Chesterfield1977533231028
9Notts County187742518728
10Gillingham188281916326
11Bradford CityBradford186752319425
12Salford City186661719-224
13BarrowBarrow186571817123
14Bromley185852323023
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham196582528-323
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood175752322122
17Newport CountyNewport186482128-722
18Colchester UnitedColchester184952322121
19Harrogate TownHarrogate1963101628-1221
20Accrington StanleyAccrington184682533-818
21Tranmere RoversTranmere184681225-1318
22Swindon TownSwindon193792333-1016
23Morecambe1935111934-1514
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1835101530-1514


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