Accrington Stanley
Barnet
Barrow
Bristol Rovers
Bromley
Cambridge United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crawley Town
Crewe Alexandra
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Newport County
Notts County
Oldham Athletic
Salford City
Shrewsbury Town
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Championship header 2

League Two

Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 19
Nov 19, 2022 at 3pm UK
The County Ground
Crewe Alexandra

Swindon
0 - 1
Crewe

FT(HT: 0-1)
Agyei (23' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Swindon Town and Crewe Alexandra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Swindon 1-1 Tranmere
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League Two

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Crewe 1-0 Colchester
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 69.49%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 11.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.57%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
Swindon TownDrawCrewe Alexandra
69.49% (0.206 0.21)18.99% (-0.041 -0.04)11.52% (-0.161 -0.16)
Both teams to score 44.86% (-0.373 -0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.42% (-0.218 -0.22)46.58% (0.222 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.15% (-0.205 -0.21)68.85% (0.20899999999999 0.21)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.75% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)12.25% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.03% (-0.012 -0.01)37.98% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.13% (-0.421 -0.42)48.87% (0.424 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.14% (-0.304 -0.3)83.86% (0.30799999999999 0.31)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 69.48%
    Crewe Alexandra 11.52%
    Draw 18.99%
Swindon TownDrawCrewe Alexandra
2-0 @ 13.19% (0.11 0.11)
1-0 @ 12.57% (0.12 0.12)
2-1 @ 9.45% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
3-0 @ 9.24% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
3-1 @ 6.61% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-0 @ 4.85% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
4-1 @ 3.47% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.37% (-0.038 -0.04)
5-0 @ 2.04% (0.016 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.46% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.24% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 69.48%
1-1 @ 9% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.99% (0.056 0.06)
2-2 @ 3.38% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 18.99%
0-1 @ 4.29% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-2 @ 3.22% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-2 @ 1.54% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 11.52%

How you voted: Swindon vs Crewe

Swindon Town
78.3%
Draw
8.7%
Crewe Alexandra
13.0%
23
Head to Head
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
Crewe
0-3
Swindon

Robertson (79')
Reed (25'), Simpson (52'), Payne (79')
Williams (38'), Reed (75')
Feb 20, 2021 3pm
Swindon
2-1
Crewe
Johnson (10' og.), Twine (90+4')
Thompson (84')
Lowery (5')
Lowery (70')
Dec 1, 2020 7pm
Crewe
4-2
Swindon
Powell (39'), Ng (54'), Lowery (63'), Dale (66')
Grant (20'), Smith (38')
Broadbent (68')
Jan 11, 2020 3pm
Swindon
3-1
Crewe
Hunt (32'), Yates (69'), Rose (72')
Caddis (80'), Woolery (95')
Anene (61')
Oct 19, 2019 3pm
Crewe
3-1
Swindon
Porter (59', 90'), Kirk (94')
Doyle (37')
Woolery (76'), Rose (78'), Lyden (80'), Doyle (83')
rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!