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Championship header 2

League Two

Crewe Alexandra
League Two | Gameweek 18
Nov 12, 2022 at 3pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
Colchester United

Crewe
1 - 0
Colchester

Agyei (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the League Two clash between Crewe Alexandra and Colchester United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Crewe 1-0 Leyton Orient
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup

Colchester United

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Newport 2-0 Colchester
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 38.42%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 33.44% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 0-1 (10.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Crewe Alexandra in this match.

Result
Crewe AlexandraDrawColchester United
38.42% (0.363 0.36)28.14% (-0.181 -0.18)33.44% (-0.18 -0.18)
Both teams to score 47.17% (0.494 0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.08% (0.626 0.63)58.93% (-0.625 -0.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.59% (0.484 0.48)79.41% (-0.483 -0.48)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.29% (0.52799999999999 0.53)29.72% (-0.526 -0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.22% (0.635 0.63)65.78% (-0.633 -0.63)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.12% (0.20099999999999 0.2)32.89% (-0.198 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.54% (0.224 0.22)69.46% (-0.22200000000001 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Crewe Alexandra 38.41%
    Colchester United 33.44%
    Draw 28.13%
Crewe AlexandraDrawColchester United
1-0 @ 11.85% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-1 @ 8% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
2-0 @ 7.2% (0.04 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.24% (0.082 0.08)
3-0 @ 2.91% (0.058 0.06)
3-2 @ 1.8% (0.055 0.05)
4-1 @ 0.98% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 38.41%
1-1 @ 13.18% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 9.77% (-0.228 -0.23)
2-2 @ 4.45% (0.073 0.07)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 28.13%
0-1 @ 10.86% (-0.2 -0.2)
1-2 @ 7.33% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.04% (-0.078 -0.08)
1-3 @ 2.72% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.24% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.65% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 33.44%

Head to Head
Mar 17, 2020 7.45pm
Colchester
P-P
Crewe
Oct 22, 2019 7.45pm
Crewe
0-0
Colchester

Lowery (71'), Pickering (80'), Hunt (95')

Comley (45'), Eastman (83')
Robinson (95')
Jan 26, 2019 3pm
Crewe
2-1
Colchester
Kirk (48'), Nolan (87')
Wintle (54'), Kirk (79')
Szmodics (11')
Nouble (42'), Szmodics (80')
Aug 21, 2018 7.45pm
Colchester
6-0
Crewe
Kent (4'), Dickenson (8', 27'), Jackson (59'), Norris (74'), Lapslie (77')
Dickenson (87')

Ng (86')
Feb 17, 2018 3pm
Crewe
1-0
Colchester
Miller (60')
Green (64'), Ainley (64')

Mandron (90')
rhs 2.0


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