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FA Cup

Crewe Alexandra
FA Cup | First Round
Nov 5, 2022 at 3pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
Leyton Orient

Crewe
1 - 0
Leyton Orient

Sambou (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Crewe Alexandra and Leyton Orient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions
Last Game: Crewe 0-0 Leeds U21s (2-1 pen.)
Tuesday, November 1 at 7.15pm in EFL Trophy

Leyton Orient

All competitions
Last Game: Leyton Orient 1-0 Salford City
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 53.2%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 23.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.77%) and 0-2 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 1-0 (6.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Crewe AlexandraDrawLeyton Orient
23.27% (0.029999999999998 0.03)23.53% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)53.2% (-0.035999999999994 -0.04)
Both teams to score 54.59% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.85% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)46.14% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.56% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)68.44% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66% (0.028999999999996 0.03)34% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.33% (0.032 0.03)70.67% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Leyton Orient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.7% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)17.29% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.36% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)47.64% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Crewe Alexandra 23.27%
    Leyton Orient 53.2%
    Draw 23.53%
Crewe AlexandraDrawLeyton Orient
1-0 @ 6.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 6.01% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.42% (0.004 0)
3-1 @ 2.16% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-2 @ 1.9% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 1.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 23.27%
1-1 @ 11.13% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.88% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 5.27% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.53%
0-1 @ 10.31% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.77% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-2 @ 9.05% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.71% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 5.3% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.08% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 2.51% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-4 @ 2.32% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 1.35%
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 53.2%

Head to Head
Jan 28, 2020 7.45pm
Crewe
2-0
Leyton Orient
Kirk (2'), Powell (88')
Pickering (81')

Marsh (59')
Sep 17, 2019 7.45pm
Leyton Orient
1-2
Crewe
Maguire-Drew (42')
Dennis (66'), Marsh (93')
Nolan (32'), Jones (90')
Apr 22, 2017 3pm
Crewe
3-0
Leyton Orient
Ainley (26'), Wintle (30'), Cooper (45')
Bakayogo (72')
Oct 29, 2016 3pm
Leyton Orient
0-2
Crewe
Cooper (34'), Davis (42')
Bakayogo (19'), Turton (75')
Apr 11, 2015 3pm
Crewe
1-1
Leyton Orient
Dalla Valle (10')
Tate (54')
Henderson (30')
McAnuff (70')
rhs 2.0


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