Crewe Alexandra
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Nov 1, 2022 at 7.15pm UK
Alexandra Stadium

Crewe
0 - 0
Leeds U21s

FT
Crewe win 2-1 on penalties
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Crewe Alexandra and Leeds United Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Boro U21s 2-4 Leeds U21s
Saturday, October 22 at 11am in Premier League 2 - Div 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 52.07%. A win for Leeds United Under-21s had a probability of 26.02% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.23%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Leeds United Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result
Crewe AlexandraDrawLeeds United Under-21s
52.07% (0.0019999999999953 0)21.9% (0.00099999999999767 0)26.02% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Both teams to score 63.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.1% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)35.9% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.01% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)57.98% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.98%14.02% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.43% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)41.56% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Leeds United Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.74% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)26.25% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.63% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)61.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Crewe Alexandra 52.07%
    Leeds United Under-21s 26.02%
    Draw 21.9%
Crewe AlexandraDrawLeeds United Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.5%
1-0 @ 7.23% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 7.1% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 6.22%
3-0 @ 4.65%
3-2 @ 4.16%
4-1 @ 3.06% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2.29%
4-2 @ 2.04%
5-1 @ 1.2%
4-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 52.07%
1-1 @ 9.67%
2-2 @ 6.35%
0-0 @ 3.68% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.86%
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 21.9%
1-2 @ 6.47%
0-1 @ 4.92% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 3.29%
1-3 @ 2.88%
2-3 @ 2.83%
0-3 @ 1.47%
1-4 @ 0.96%
2-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 26.02%