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EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Oct 18, 2022 at 7pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium

Bolton
3 - 0
Leeds U21s

Dadi Bodvarsson (14'), Bakayoko (78'), Sadlier (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Bolton Wanderers and Leeds United Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sunderland U21s 0-1 Leeds U21s
Monday, October 10 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 75.1%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Leeds United Under-21s had a probability of 9.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.46%) and 2-1 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.05%), while for a Leeds United Under-21s win it was 1-2 (2.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawLeeds United Under-21s
75.1% (1.819 1.82)15.16% (-0.701 -0.7)9.74% (-1.119 -1.12)
Both teams to score 52.15% (-1.73 -1.73)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.32% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)33.68% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.5% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)55.5% (0.029999999999994 0.03)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.46% (0.369 0.37)7.54% (-0.371 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.97% (0.949 0.95)27.02% (-0.952 -0.95)
Leeds United Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.4% (-2.106 -2.11)43.59% (2.103 2.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.21% (-1.801 -1.8)79.79% (1.799 1.8)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 75.1%
    Leeds United Under-21s 9.74%
    Draw 15.16%
Bolton WanderersDrawLeeds United Under-21s
2-0 @ 10.98% (0.42 0.42)
3-0 @ 9.46% (0.53 0.53)
2-1 @ 9.12% (-0.174 -0.17)
1-0 @ 8.5% (0.17 0.17)
3-1 @ 7.86% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-0 @ 6.12% (0.45 0.45)
4-1 @ 5.08% (0.094 0.09)
3-2 @ 3.26% (-0.195 -0.2)
5-0 @ 3.16% (0.287 0.29)
5-1 @ 2.63% (0.097 0.1)
4-2 @ 2.11% (-0.084 -0.08)
6-0 @ 1.36% (0.146 0.15)
6-1 @ 1.13% (0.061 0.06)
5-2 @ 1.09% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 75.1%
1-1 @ 7.05% (-0.271 -0.27)
2-2 @ 3.79% (-0.302 -0.3)
0-0 @ 3.29% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 0.9% (-0.111 -0.11)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 15.16%
1-2 @ 2.93% (-0.294 -0.29)
0-1 @ 2.73% (-0.159 -0.16)
0-2 @ 1.13% (-0.137 -0.14)
2-3 @ 1.05% (-0.151 -0.15)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 9.74%

rhs 2.0


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