EFL Trophy
Oct 18, 2022 7.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT University of Bolton Stadium
  • Jon Dadi Bodvarsson 14' goal
  • Amadou Bakayoko 78' goal
  • Kieran Sadlier 89' goal

Bolton Wanderers vs Leeds United Under-21s - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last game
Sep 20, 2022 7.00pm
Tranmere 2 - 2 Bolton

Leeds United Under-21s

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last game
Oct 4, 2022 7.00pm
Tranmere 3 - 5 Leeds U21s

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 75.1%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Leeds United Under-21s had a probability of 9.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.46%) and 2-1 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.05%), while for a Leeds United Under-21s win it was 1-2 (2.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result

Bolton Wanderers 75.1% (+1.82)
Draw 15.16% (-0.71)
Leeds United Under-21s 9.74% (-1.12)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.15% (-1.74)

Goals

Over 2.5 66.32% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 33.68% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 44.5% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 55.5% (+0.03)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5 92.46% (+0.37)
Under 0.5 7.54% (-0.38)
Over 1.5 72.97% (+0.95)
Under 1.5 27.02% (-0.96)

Leeds United Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5 56.4% (-2.11)
Under 0.5 43.59% (+2.11)
Over 1.5 20.21% (-1.81)
Under 1.5 79.79% (+1.80)

Score analysis

Bolton Wanderers 75.1%
Draw 15.16%
Leeds United Under-21s 9.74%
Bolton Wanderers
2-0 @ 10.98% (+0.42)
3-0 @ 9.46% (+0.53)
2-1 @ 9.12% (-0.18)
1-0 @ 8.5% (+0.17)
3-1 @ 7.86% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 6.12% (+0.45)
4-1 @ 5.08% (+0.10)
3-2 @ 3.26% (-0.20)
5-0 @ 3.16% (+0.29)
5-1 @ 2.63% (+0.10)
4-2 @ 2.11% (-0.09)
6-0 @ 1.36% (+0.15)
6-1 @ 1.13% (+0.07)
5-2 @ 1.09% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 75.1%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.05% (-0.28)
2-2 @ 3.79% (-0.31)
0-0 @ 3.29% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 15.16%
Leeds United Under-21s
1-2 @ 2.93% (-0.30)
0-1 @ 2.73% (-0.16)
0-2 @ 1.13% (-0.14)
2-3 @ 1.05% (-0.16)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 9.74%