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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 45.85%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 27.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 0-1 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crawley Town | Draw | Gillingham |
| 45.85% ( | 26.6% ( | 27.56% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.17% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.8% ( | 55.2% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.56% ( | 76.44% ( |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.97% ( | 24.02% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.71% ( | 58.29% ( |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.72% ( | 35.27% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.97% ( | 72.03% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Crawley Town | Draw | Gillingham |
| 1-0 @ 12.08% 2-1 @ 8.98% ( 2-0 @ 8.62% ( 3-1 @ 4.27% ( 3-0 @ 4.1% ( 3-2 @ 2.22% 4-1 @ 1.52% 4-0 @ 1.46% ( Other @ 2.59% Total : 45.84% | 1-1 @ 12.59% 0-0 @ 8.47% ( 2-2 @ 4.68% Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.59% | 0-1 @ 8.83% ( 1-2 @ 6.56% ( 0-2 @ 4.6% ( 1-3 @ 2.28% 2-3 @ 1.63% 0-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.06% Total : 27.56% |