Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 45.85%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 27.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 0-1 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.