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Priestley Farquharson
43'
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Priestley Farquharson
56'
Newport County vs Gillingham - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 55.32%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 19.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.27%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.74%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (7.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Newport County Goals
Gillingham Goals
Score analysis
2-0 @ 11.27% ▼ (-0.24)
2-1 @ 9.31% ▲ (+0.10)
3-0 @ 5.95% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 4.92% ▲ (+0.12)
4-0 @ 2.36% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.03% ▲ (+0.11)
4-1 @ 1.95% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 55.31%
0-0 @ 8.98% ▼ (-0.41)
2-2 @ 3.84% ▲ (+0.16)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 25.17%
1-2 @ 4.85% ▲ (+0.15)
0-2 @ 3.06% ▲ (+0.06)
1-3 @ 1.34% ▲ (+0.08)
2-3 @ 1.06% ▼ (-97.35)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 19.5%
Head to Head
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Brandon Hanlan
26'
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Mikael Ndjoli
58'
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Mikael Ndjoli
90'
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Mikael Ndjoli
93'
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Tristan Abrahams
84'
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Kyle Howkins
89'
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Padraig Amond
94'