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Championship header 2

League Two
Newport County
League Two | Gameweek 19
Nov 19, 2022 at 3pm UK
Rodney Parade
Gillingham

Newport
2 - 0
Gillingham

Farquharson (43', 56')
Waite (72'), Moriah-Welsh (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Mandron (15'), Alexander (22'), Walker (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Newport County and Gillingham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Newport 1-2 Stockport
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League Two

Gillingham

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 1-0 Fylde
Tuesday, November 15 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

We said: Newport County 2-1 Gillingham

 A game that both sides will view as an opportunity to take three points, we are backing the visitors here, given their relatively solid form since the arrival of Coughlan in the dugout in addition to Gillingham's goalscoring woes on the road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 55.32%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 19.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.27%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.74%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (7.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.

Result
Newport CountyDrawGillingham
55.32% (-0.174 -0.17) 25.18% (-0.206 -0.21) 19.5% (0.379 0.38)
Both teams to score 44.67% (1.093 1.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.28% (1.145 1.15)56.72% (-1.145 -1.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.33% (0.912 0.91)77.67% (-0.91199999999999 -0.91)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.49% (0.389 0.39)20.51% (-0.389 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47% (0.613 0.61)53% (-0.613 -0.61)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.2% (1.105 1.11)43.8% (-1.105 -1.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.04% (0.897 0.9)79.96% (-0.898 -0.9)
Score Analysis
    Newport County 55.31%
    Gillingham 19.5%
    Draw 25.17%
Newport CountyDrawGillingham
1-0 @ 14.23% (-0.46 -0.46)
2-0 @ 11.27% (-0.23 -0.23)
2-1 @ 9.31% (0.1 0.1)
3-0 @ 5.95% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-1 @ 4.92% (0.111 0.11)
4-0 @ 2.36% (0.01 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.03% (0.106 0.11)
4-1 @ 1.95% (0.066 0.07)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 55.31%
1-1 @ 11.74% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.98% (-0.401 -0.4)
2-2 @ 3.84% (0.157 0.16)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 25.17%
0-1 @ 7.42% (-0.097 -0.1)
1-2 @ 4.85% (0.142 0.14)
0-2 @ 3.06% (0.053 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.34% (0.078 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.06% (0.073 0.07)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 19.5%

How you voted: Newport vs Gillingham

Newport County
61.9%
Draw
19.0%
Gillingham
19.0%
21
Head to Head
Aug 13, 2019 7.45pm
Gillingham
2-2
Newport
 Newport win 4-1 on penalties
Hanlan (26' pen.), Ndjoli (90' pen.)
Ndjoli (58')
Ndjoli (93')
Abrahams (84'), Amond (94' pen.)
Howkins (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall19124335191640
2Port Vale2010642619736
3Crewe AlexandraCrewe199732416834
4AFC Wimbledon19103631161533
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster209652823533
6Chesterfield2087535231231
7Grimsby Town2010192730-331
8MK Dons1893630201030
9Gillingham199282016429
10Bradford CityBradford197752419528
11Notts County197752521428
12Salford City197662019127
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham207582728-126
14Bromley195952323024
15BarrowBarrow196581818023
16Newport CountyNewport196582128-723
17Fleetwood TownFleetwood175752322122
18Colchester UnitedColchester1941052322122
19Tranmere RoversTranmere195681426-1221
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2063111730-1321
21Accrington StanleyAccrington184682533-818
22Swindon TownSwindon2037102334-1116
23Morecambe2035121936-1714
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1935111532-1714
> League Two Full Table


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