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EFL Cup | Third Round
Nov 8, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
King Power Stadium
Newport County

Leicester
3 - 0
Newport

Justin (44'), Vardy (70', 82')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Leicester City and Newport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Everton 0-2 Leicester
Saturday, November 5 at 5.30pm in Premier League

We said: Leicester City 4-0 Newport County

As impressive as Newport have been on home soil recently, winning away from home has not been so simple for the League Two side, who should not expect miracles at the King Power. Leicester will certainly not field a full-strength XI, but with form on their side and an impeccable defensive record to boast about, we expect the Foxes to cruise through to round four. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 51.44%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Leicester CityDrawNewport County
51.44% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 24.45% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 24.1% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 52.61% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.76% (0.039000000000001 0.04)49.23% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.7% (0.036000000000001 0.04)71.29% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.87% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)19.13% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.23% (0.011999999999993 0.01)50.77% (-0.012 -0.01)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.05% (0.042000000000002 0.04)34.95% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.31% (0.043999999999997 0.04)71.69% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Leicester City 51.44%
    Newport County 24.1%
    Draw 24.45%
Leicester CityDrawNewport County
1-0 @ 11.05% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.61%
2-0 @ 9.14% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.3% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 5.04% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.79% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 2.19% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-0 @ 2.09% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.15% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 51.44%
1-1 @ 11.62%
0-0 @ 6.69% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.05% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.45%
0-1 @ 7.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 6.11% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.69% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.14% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.77% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.3% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 24.1%

How you voted: Leicester vs Newport

Leicester City
89.9%
Draw
2.5%
Newport County
7.6%
79
Head to Head
Jan 6, 2019 4.30pm
Newport
2-1
Leicester
Matt (10'), Amond (85' pen.)
Ghezzal (82')
Okazaki (45')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
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2Manchester CityMan City33237380324876
3Liverpool35229477364175
4Aston Villa34206871502166
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs32186865491660
6Manchester UnitedMan Utd34166125251154
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle341651374551953
8West Ham UnitedWest Ham351310125665-949
9Chelsea32138116157447
10Wolverhampton WanderersWolves35137154855-746
11Bournemouth34129134960-1145
12Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton331111115254-244
13Fulham35127165155-443
14Crystal Palace351010154557-1240
15Everton35128153748-1136
16Brentford3598185260-835
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3479184260-1826
18Luton TownLuton3567224877-2925
19Burnley3559213870-3224
20Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd3537253497-6316


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