EFL Cup
Nov 8, 2022 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT King Power Stadium
  • James Justin 44' goal
  • Jamie Vardy 70' goal
  • Jamie Vardy 82' goal

Leicester City vs Newport County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Leicester City

All competitions

Newport County

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 51.44%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result

Leicester City 51.44% (-0.02)
Draw 24.45% (-0.01)
Newport County 24.1% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.61% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.76% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 49.23% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 28.7% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 71.29% (-0.04)

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5 80.87% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 19.13% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 49.23% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 50.77% (-0.02)

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5 65.05% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 34.95% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 28.31% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 71.69% (-0.05)

Score analysis

Leicester City 51.44%
Draw 24.45%
Newport County 24.1%
Leicester City
1-0 @ 11.05% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.61%
2-0 @ 9.14% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.3% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.04% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.79% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.19% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.09% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.15% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 51.44%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.62%
0-0 @ 6.69% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.05% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.09%
Total : 24.45%
Newport County
0-1 @ 7.03% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.11% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.69% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.14% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.77% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.3% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 24.1%

Head to Head

FA Cup
Jan 6, 2019 4.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Jamille Matt 10' goal
  • Padraig Amond 85' goal
  • yellowcard Shinji Okazaki 45'
  • goal Rachid Ghezzal 82'