Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 56.57%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Leeds United had a probability of 20.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.02%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.94%), while for a Leeds United win it was 0-1 (6.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leicester City | Draw | Leeds United |
| 56.57% ( | 23.04% ( | 20.39% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.21% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.62% ( | 47.38% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.4% ( | 69.6% ( |
| Leicester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.46% ( | 16.54% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.7% ( | 46.3% ( |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.55% ( | 37.45% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.77% ( | 74.23% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Leicester City | Draw | Leeds United |
| 1-0 @ 11.14% ( 2-0 @ 10.02% ( 2-1 @ 9.85% ( 3-0 @ 6.02% ( 3-1 @ 5.91% ( 3-2 @ 2.9% ( 4-0 @ 2.71% ( 4-1 @ 2.66% ( 4-2 @ 1.31% ( 5-0 @ 0.97% ( 5-1 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 2.13% Total : 56.56% | 1-1 @ 10.94% ( 0-0 @ 6.19% ( 2-2 @ 4.84% ( 3-3 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.03% | 0-1 @ 6.08% ( 1-2 @ 5.38% ( 0-2 @ 2.99% ( 1-3 @ 1.76% ( 2-3 @ 1.58% ( 0-3 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 1.62% Total : 20.39% |