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Premier League | Gameweek 12
Oct 20, 2022 at 8.15pm UK
King Power Stadium
Leeds logo

Leicester
2 - 0
Leeds

Koch (16' og.), Barnes (35')
Soumare (52'), Tielemans (78')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Koch (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Premier League clash between Leicester City and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leicester 0-0 Crystal Palace
Saturday, October 15 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Leeds 0-1 Arsenal
Sunday, October 16 at 2pm in Premier League

We said: Leicester City 2-2 Leeds United

Every game is turning into a must-win for Rodgers and his Leicester side, while Leeds will also be desperate to taste victory having not done so since August. Leicester have not drawn any of their last 10 Premier League home games against Leeds, but we feel that this run could come to an end on Thursday, with both sides playing out an entertaining contest at the King Power. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 56.57%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Leeds United had a probability of 20.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.02%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.94%), while for a Leeds United win it was 0-1 (6.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Leicester CityDrawLeeds United
56.57% (0.924 0.92) 23.04% (-0.388 -0.39) 20.39% (-0.536 -0.54)
Both teams to score 52.21% (0.423 0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.62% (0.958 0.96)47.38% (-0.956 -0.96)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.4% (0.884 0.88)69.6% (-0.88 -0.88)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.46% (0.672 0.67)16.54% (-0.669 -0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.7% (1.193 1.19)46.3% (-1.19 -1.19)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.55% (0.0030000000000001 0)37.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.77% (0.0019999999999989 0)74.23% (0.0020000000000095 0)
Score Analysis
    Leicester City 56.56%
    Leeds United 20.39%
    Draw 23.03%
Leicester CityDrawLeeds United
1-0 @ 11.14% (-0.2 -0.2)
2-0 @ 10.02% (0.041 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.85% (0.048 0.05)
3-0 @ 6.02% (0.161 0.16)
3-1 @ 5.91% (0.159 0.16)
3-2 @ 2.9% (0.078 0.08)
4-0 @ 2.71% (0.131 0.13)
4-1 @ 2.66% (0.128 0.13)
4-2 @ 1.31% (0.063 0.06)
5-0 @ 0.97% (0.068 0.07)
5-1 @ 0.96% (0.067 0.07)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 56.56%
1-1 @ 10.94% (-0.19 -0.19)
0-0 @ 6.19% (-0.25 -0.25)
2-2 @ 4.84% (0.024 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.03%
0-1 @ 6.08% (-0.246 -0.25)
1-2 @ 5.38% (-0.093999999999999 -0.09)
0-2 @ 2.99% (-0.121 -0.12)
1-3 @ 1.76% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.58% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 0.98% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 20.39%

How you voted: Leicester vs Leeds

Leicester City
52.2%
Draw
22.8%
Leeds United
25.1%
347
Head to Head
Mar 5, 2022 12.30pm
Nov 7, 2021 2pm
Jan 31, 2021 2pm
Leicester
1-3
Leeds
Barnes (13')
Dallas (15'), Bamford (70'), Harrison (84')
Ayling (38'), Dallas (62'), Klich (74')
Nov 2, 2020 8pm
Leeds
1-4
Leicester
Dallas (48')
Dallas (50')
Barnes (2'), Tielemans (21', 90+1'), Vardy (76')
Thomas (84')
Oct 24, 2017 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Rams
@
49ers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool14112129111835
2Chelsea1594235181731
3Arsenal1585229151429
4Manchester CityMan City158342721627
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest157441918125
6Aston Villa157442323025
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton156632522324
8Bournemouth157352320324
9Brentford157263128323
10Fulham156542220223
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1562731191220
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle155551921-220
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd155461918119
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham155372028-818
15Everton143561421-714
16Leicester CityLeicester153572130-914
17Crystal Palace152761420-613
18Ipswich TownIpswich151681427-139
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1523102338-159
20Southampton1512121131-205


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