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Premier League | Gameweek 12
Oct 20, 2022 at 8.15pm UK
King Power Stadium
Leeds logo

Leicester
2 - 0
Leeds

Koch (16' og.), Barnes (35')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Premier League clash between Leicester City and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cheltenham 0-2 Leicester
Saturday, January 10 at 12.15pm in FA Cup
Next Game: Coventry vs. Leicester
Saturday, January 17 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Derby 1-1 Leeds
Sunday, January 11 at 12pm in FA Cup
Next Game: Leeds vs. Fulham
Saturday, January 17 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 56.57%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Leeds United had a probability of 20.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.02%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.94%), while for a Leeds United win it was 0-1 (6.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Leicester CityDrawLeeds United
56.57% (0.924 0.92)23.04% (-0.388 -0.39)20.39% (-0.536 -0.54)
Both teams to score 52.21% (0.423 0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.62% (0.958 0.96)47.38% (-0.956 -0.96)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.4% (0.884 0.88)69.6% (-0.88 -0.88)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.46% (0.672 0.67)16.54% (-0.669 -0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.7% (1.193 1.19)46.3% (-1.19 -1.19)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.55% (0.0030000000000001 0)37.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.77% (0.0019999999999989 0)74.23% (0.0020000000000095 0)
Score Analysis
    Leicester City 56.56%
    Leeds United 20.39%
    Draw 23.03%
Leicester CityDrawLeeds United
1-0 @ 11.14% (-0.2 -0.2)
2-0 @ 10.02% (0.041 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.85% (0.048 0.05)
3-0 @ 6.02% (0.161 0.16)
3-1 @ 5.91% (0.159 0.16)
3-2 @ 2.9% (0.078 0.08)
4-0 @ 2.71% (0.131 0.13)
4-1 @ 2.66% (0.128 0.13)
4-2 @ 1.31% (0.063 0.06)
5-0 @ 0.97% (0.068 0.07)
5-1 @ 0.96% (0.067 0.07)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 56.56%
1-1 @ 10.94% (-0.19 -0.19)
0-0 @ 6.19% (-0.25 -0.25)
2-2 @ 4.84% (0.024 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.03%
0-1 @ 6.08% (-0.246 -0.25)
1-2 @ 5.38% (-0.093999999999999 -0.09)
0-2 @ 2.99% (-0.121 -0.12)
1-3 @ 1.76% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.58% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 0.98% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 20.39%

How you voted: Leicester vs Leeds

Leicester City
52.2%
Draw
22.8%
Leeds United
25.1%
347
Head to Head
Mar 5, 2022 12.30pm
gameweek 28
Leicester
1-0
Leeds
Barnes (67')
Ndidi (53')

Struijk (9'), Forshaw (71')
Nov 7, 2021 2pm
gameweek 11
Leeds
1-1
Leicester
Raphinha (26')
Raphinha (27')
Barnes (28')
Ndidi (74')
Jan 31, 2021 2pm
gameweek 21
Leicester
1-3
Leeds
Barnes (13')
Dallas (15'), Bamford (70'), Harrison (84')
Ayling (38'), Dallas (62'), Klich (74')
Nov 2, 2020 8pm
gameweek 7
Leeds
1-4
Leicester
Dallas (48')
Dallas (50')
Barnes (2'), Tielemans (21', 90+1'), Vardy (76')
Thomas (84')
Oct 24, 2017 7.45pm
Fourth Round
Leicester
3-1
Leeds
Iheanacho (30'), Slimani (70'), Mahrez (88')
Hernandez (26')