Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 50.75%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 28.37% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.26%) and 0-2 (5.68%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 2-1 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Leicester City | Draw | Southampton |
| 28.37% ( | 20.88% ( | 50.75% ( |
| Both teams to score 69.49% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.12% ( | 28.87% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.17% ( | 49.82% ( |
| Leicester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.94% ( | 21.05% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.14% ( | 53.85% ( |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.02% ( | 11.97% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.61% ( | 37.38% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Leicester City | Draw | Southampton |
| 2-1 @ 6.49% ( 1-0 @ 3.93% ( 3-2 @ 3.58% ( 3-1 @ 3.37% ( 2-0 @ 3.06% ( 3-0 @ 1.59% ( 4-2 @ 1.39% ( 4-1 @ 1.31% ( 4-3 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 2.65% Total : 28.37% | 1-1 @ 8.34% ( 2-2 @ 6.89% ( 3-3 @ 2.53% ( 0-0 @ 2.52% ( Other @ 0.6% Total : 20.88% | 1-2 @ 8.85% ( 1-3 @ 6.26% ( 0-2 @ 5.68% ( 0-1 @ 5.35% ( 2-3 @ 4.88% ( 0-3 @ 4.02% ( 1-4 @ 3.32% ( 2-4 @ 2.59% ( 0-4 @ 2.13% ( 1-5 @ 1.41% ( 3-4 @ 1.34% ( 2-5 @ 1.1% ( 0-5 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 2.92% Total : 50.75% |